Tue Oct 20 · 2026-27
WPG1FINAL
2STL
WPG 45%DESERVE TO WIN55% STL
TOSS-UP
A toss-up on the shots — STL had a 55% chance and got it.
Expected goals flow
WPGSTL
cumulative xG · dots = goals
| WPG | STL | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1 | 2 |
| xG (all) | 2.67 | 3.00 |
| xG (5v5) | 1.98 | 2.04 |
| Shot attempts | 64 | 52 |
| Shots on goal | 33 | 28 |
WPG skaters
| Player | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | 5v5 xG± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cole Perfetti | 19.8 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0.56 | -0.15 |
| Gabriel Vilardi | 17.8 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0.17 | +0.40 |
| Kyle Connor | 21.7 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.55 | -0.19 |
| Alex Iafallo | 13.1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0.30 | +0.24 |
| Mark Scheifele | 20.9 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.26 | -0.19 |
| Morgan Barron | 13.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.17 | -0.01 |
| Isak Rosen | 13.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.17 | -0.15 |
| Cole Koepke | 9.8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.14 | -0.00 |
| Neal Pionk | 26.8 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.09 | +0.27 |
| Dylan Samberg | 22.5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.07 | +0.31 |
| Brad Lambert | 6.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.06 | -0.03 |
| Mario Ferraro | 19.7 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.05 | +0.33 |
| Viggo Björck | 14.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.05 | +0.48 |
| Tyrel Bauer | 8.4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.02 | -0.34 |
| Haydn Fleury | 17.9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.01 | -0.85 |
| Dylan DeMelo | 20.3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.01 | +0.03 |
| Nino Niederreiter | 12.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | -0.10 |
| Adam Lowry | 14.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.29 |
STL skaters
| Player | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | 5v5 xG± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Philip Broberg | 23.7 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 0.36 | +0.20 |
| Jake Neighbours | 16.5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0.63 | +0.28 |
| Jimmy Snuggerud | 19.6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0.25 | -0.70 |
| Dylan Holloway | 17.4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.14 | -0.41 |
| Robert Thomas | 20.9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.45 |
| Pavel Buchnevich | 19.6 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.34 | +0.37 |
| Otto Stenberg | 9.1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.22 | +0.43 |
| Jonatan Berggren | 11.9 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.21 | -0.20 |
| Aleksanteri Kaskimaki | 11.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.19 | +0.52 |
| Connor McMichael | 14.6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.16 | -0.19 |
| Brandon Carlo | 17.9 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.15 | +0.14 |
| Dalibor Dvorsky | 10.1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.09 | +0.38 |
| Colton Parayko | 21.7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.09 | +0.03 |
| Adam Jiricek | 11.8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.06 | +0.03 |
| Cam Fowler | 21.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.06 | -0.19 |
| Justin Barron | 17.6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.03 | -0.09 |
| Mason McTavish | 14.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.32 |
| Pius Suter | 14.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | +0.45 |
Goalies
| Goalie | Team | Unbl. shots | GA | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stuart Skinner | WPG | 41 | 2 | 3.00 | +1.00 |
| Joel Hofer | STL | 49 | 1 | 2.67 | +1.67 |
DtW replays every unblocked, non-empty-net shot by its xG (shootout excluded; a tie = coin
flip), calibrated against real results — so it reads as "teams with these shots win X%". ixG = expected goals from a player's own shots. 5v5 xG± = 5v5 xG for minus
against while he was on the ice. GSAx = expected goals against minus goals allowed.