ON-ICE IQ · TOR 6 @ CBJ 2

ON-ICE IQ ← ALL GAMES

Tue Oct 20 · 2026-27

TOR6

FINAL

2CBJ

TOR 44%DESERVE TO WIN56% CBJ

TOSS-UP A toss-up on the shots — TOR had a 44% chance and got it.

Expected goals flow

TORCBJ cumulative xG · dots = goals

	TOR	CBJ
Goals	6	2
xG (all)	2.99	3.49
xG (5v5)	1.32	2.18
Shot attempts	43	65
Shots on goal	22	37

TOR skaters

Player	TOI	G	A	SOG	ixG	5v5 xG±
Easton Cowan	13.6	1	2	2	0.44	+0.16
Jack Roslovic	15.7	1	2	2	0.17	+0.28
Morgan Rielly	22.8	0	3	0	0.03	-0.40
Auston Matthews	17.1	1	1	3	0.31	+0.32
William Nylander	17.9	1	1	2	0.20	+0.22
Kirill Marchenko	19.3	1	0	2	0.46	-0.35
Oliver Ekman-Larsson	23.3	0	1	1	0.30	-0.36
Marshall Rifai	19.2	1	0	2	0.07	-0.34
Colton Sissons	14.4	0	1	1	0.06	-0.39
Nick Paul	16.8	0	0	2	0.36	+0.13
Gavin McKenna	13.0	0	0	2	0.26	-0.28
Vinni Lettieri	8.8	0	0	0	0.21	-0.37
Troy Stecher	26.4	0	0	2	0.06	-0.52
Darren Raddysh	20.5	0	0	1	0.04	+0.00
Teddy Blueger	16.1	0	0	0	0.00	-1.02
Brandon Duhaime	13.6	0	0	0	0.00	-1.10
Zack MacEwen	5.3	0	0	0	0.00	-0.13
Jake McCabe	4.2	0	0	0	0.00	-0.17

CBJ skaters

Player	TOI	G	A	SOG	ixG	5v5 xG±
Charlie Coyle	23.0	1	0	2	0.29	+0.55
Cole Sillinger	13.5	0	1	2	0.28	+0.29
Dmitri Voronkov	10.0	0	1	2	0.19	+0.33
Jake Christiansen	16.1	1	0	2	0.10	+0.98
Emil Andrae	10.4	0	1	0	0.01	+0.23
Valeri Nichushkin	12.4	0	1	0	0.00	+0.08
Zach Werenski	27.2	0	0	8	0.53	-0.49
Adam Fantilli	21.4	0	0	6	0.53	-0.05
Matthew Knies	18.6	0	0	3	0.39	+0.03
Denton Mateychuk	20.4	0	0	3	0.28	+1.16
Mathieu Olivier	16.2	0	0	2	0.25	+0.39
Sean Monahan	13.2	0	0	1	0.20	+0.27
Damon Severson	21.8	0	0	1	0.17	-0.10
Ryan Lomberg	11.2	0	0	2	0.14	+0.21
Conor Garland	12.2	0	0	1	0.11	+0.26
Erik Gudbranson	14.3	0	0	1	0.01	-0.22
Luca Del Bel Belluz	11.9	0	0	1	0.00	+0.25
Kent Johnson	17.1	0	0	0	0.00	+0.15

Goalies

Goalie	Team	Unbl. shots	GA	xGA	GSAx
Cam Talbot	CBJ	3	1	0.30	-0.70
Anthony Stolarz	TOR	48	2	3.49	+1.49
Jet Greaves	CBJ	32	5	2.69	-2.31

DtW replays every unblocked, non-empty-net shot by its xG (shootout excluded; a tie = coin flip), calibrated against real results — so it reads as "teams with these shots win X%". ixG = expected goals from a player's own shots. 5v5 xG± = 5v5 xG for minus against while he was on the ice. GSAx = expected goals against minus goals allowed.