Tue Oct 20 · 2026-27
ANA2FINAL
3NYI
ANA 24%DESERVE TO WIN76% NYI
DESERVED
NYI earned it — a 76% chance to win on the shots.
Expected goals flow
ANANYI
cumulative xG · dots = goals
| ANA | NYI | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2 | 3 |
| xG (all) | 1.99 | 5.32 |
| xG (5v5) | 1.65 | 4.07 |
| Shot attempts | 49 | 77 |
| Shots on goal | 17 | 25 |
ANA skaters
| Player | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | 5v5 xG± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leo Carlsson | 20.7 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0.18 | -0.08 |
| Frank Vatrano | 10.2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.14 | -0.02 |
| Alex Killorn | 15.8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.10 | -0.73 |
| Jackson LaCombe | 27.9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.00 | -1.08 |
| A.J. Greer | 12.2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.19 |
| Mikael Granlund | 20.6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.33 | -1.51 |
| Beckett Sennecke | 24.7 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.32 | -1.36 |
| Cutter Gauthier | 17.5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.18 | -0.42 |
| Tyson Hinds | 22.7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.16 | -0.74 |
| Jeff Malott | 11.7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.15 | -0.51 |
| Nikita Nesterenko | 10.6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.14 | -0.72 |
| Tristan Luneau | 20.1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.12 | +0.23 |
| Sam Colangelo | 10.7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.10 | -0.85 |
| Drew Helleson | 19.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.06 | -0.71 |
| Noah Warren | 15.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -1.38 |
| Tim Washe | 14.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.18 |
| Roger McQueen | 10.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.67 |
| Pavel Mintyukov | 10.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -1.18 |
NYI skaters
| Player | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | 5v5 xG± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bo Horvat | 21.6 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0.94 | +1.59 |
| Victor Eklund | 12.5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0.92 | +0.65 |
| Simon Holmstrom | 20.2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0.51 | +1.41 |
| Emil Heineman | 14.5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.33 | +0.82 |
| Jean-Gabriel Pageau | 17.3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.25 | -0.14 |
| Ondrej Palat | 14.8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.22 | -0.11 |
| Matthew Kessel | 13.4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.17 | +1.16 |
| Matthew Schaefer | 26.3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.15 | +1.02 |
| Anthony Duclair | 13.8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.04 | -0.19 |
| Kyle Palmieri | 19.2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.69 | +1.90 |
| Brayden Schenn | 16.1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.46 | +0.76 |
| Logan Stanley | 20.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.26 | +1.74 |
| Mitchell Chaffee | 9.2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.20 | +0.06 |
| Adam Pelech | 20.9 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.10 | +0.23 |
| Kyle MacLean | 10.3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.05 | +0.51 |
| Ryan Pulock | 19.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.02 | -0.40 |
| Tony DeAngelo | 15.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | +0.88 |
| Casey Cizikas | 11.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | +0.22 |
Goalies
| Goalie | Team | Unbl. shots | GA | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ilya Sorokin | NYI | 31 | 2 | 1.99 | -0.01 |
| Lukas Dostal | ANA | 53 | 3 | 5.32 | +2.32 |
DtW replays every unblocked, non-empty-net shot by its xG (shootout excluded; a tie = coin
flip), calibrated against real results — so it reads as "teams with these shots win X%". ixG = expected goals from a player's own shots. 5v5 xG± = 5v5 xG for minus
against while he was on the ice. GSAx = expected goals against minus goals allowed.