ON-ICE IQ · COL 3 @ NJD 4

ON-ICE IQ ← ALL GAMES

Tue Oct 20 · 2026-27

COL3

FINAL

4NJD

COL 42%DESERVE TO WIN58% NJD

TOSS-UP A toss-up on the shots — NJD had a 58% chance and got it.

Expected goals flow

COLNJD cumulative xG · dots = goals

	COL	NJD
Goals	3	4
xG (all)	2.51	3.27
xG (5v5)	1.64	2.48
Shot attempts	77	67
Shots on goal	34	41

COL skaters

Player	TOI	G	A	SOG	ixG	5v5 xG±
Artturi Lehkonen	16.7	2	0	2	0.27	-0.56
Cale Makar	22.6	0	2	3	0.20	-0.03
Gabriel Landeskog	18.0	1	0	3	0.45	+0.43
Nazem Kadri	21.6	0	1	2	0.20	+0.37
Brock Nelson	17.5	0	1	1	0.03	-0.39
Fedor Svechkov	14.4	0	1	1	0.02	-0.08
Gavin Brindley	9.2	0	1	0	0.00	-0.12
Nathan MacKinnon	21.3	0	0	5	0.49	-0.62
Martin Necas	19.1	0	0	3	0.21	-0.35
Brett Kulak	20.2	0	0	1	0.15	-0.13
T.J. Hughes	15.7	0	0	2	0.14	-0.26
Parker Kelly	15.7	0	0	4	0.13	-0.36
Brent Burns	15.8	0	0	2	0.09	-0.70
Devon Toews	16.2	0	0	2	0.05	-0.07
Josh Manson	13.6	0	0	2	0.04	-0.46
Sam Malinski	16.4	0	0	0	0.02	-0.36
Noah Juulsen	9.2	0	0	1	0.01	+0.05
Jaden Schwartz	18.3	0	0	0	0.00	-0.56

NJD skaters

Player	TOI	G	A	SOG	ixG	5v5 xG±
Luke Evangelista	16.9	1	1	6	0.44	+0.75
Nico Hischier	18.6	0	1	4	0.70	+0.90
Jesper Boqvist	11.3	1	0	1	0.28	-0.08
Arseny Gritsyuk	11.4	1	0	1	0.20	+0.59
Jonas Siegenthaler	21.6	0	1	0	0.14	+0.74
Dougie Hamilton	21.0	0	1	2	0.05	+0.54
Declan Chisholm	15.9	1	0	2	0.02	+0.66
Connor Brown	13.9	0	1	0	0.00	+0.02
Timo Meier	16.1	0	0	8	0.81	+0.59
Jack Hughes	16.9	0	0	3	0.25	+0.33
Jesper Bratt	13.8	0	0	2	0.25	+0.40
Luke Hughes	23.1	0	0	4	0.15	-0.50
Dawson Mercer	16.6	0	0	2	0.11	-0.35
Johnathan Kovacevic	16.2	0	0	2	0.06	+0.44
Brett Pesce	20.9	0	0	2	0.04	-0.19
Evan Rodrigues	15.3	0	0	0	0.03	-0.26
Anthony Mantha	15.0	0	0	1	0.03	-0.28
Cody Glass	13.3	0	0	1	0.00	-0.09

Goalies

Goalie	Team	Unbl. shots	GA	xGA	GSAx
Jake Allen	NJD	52	3	2.51	-0.49
Scott Wedgewood	COL	48	3	3.27	+0.27

DtW replays every unblocked, non-empty-net shot by its xG (shootout excluded; a tie = coin flip), calibrated against real results — so it reads as "teams with these shots win X%". ixG = expected goals from a player's own shots. 5v5 xG± = 5v5 xG for minus against while he was on the ice. GSAx = expected goals against minus goals allowed.