ON-ICE IQ · PIT 4 @ UTA 5

ON-ICE IQ ← ALL GAMES

Mon Oct 19 · 2026-27

PIT4

FINAL

5UTA

PIT 33%DESERVE TO WIN67% UTA

DESERVED UTA earned it — a 67% chance to win on the shots.

Expected goals flow

PITUTA cumulative xG · dots = goals

	PIT	UTA
Goals	4	5
xG (all)	2.23	4.11
xG (5v5)	1.67	3.32
Shot attempts	48	62
Shots on goal	19	29

PIT skaters

Player	TOI	G	A	SOG	ixG	5v5 xG±
Rickard Rakell	19.0	1	1	3	0.49	-0.28
Erik Karlsson	27.7	1	1	1	0.10	-0.78
Bryan Rust	9.5	0	2	0	0.00	-1.00
Egor Chinakhov	15.5	1	0	1	0.24	-1.17
Declan Carlile	16.1	1	0	2	0.22	-0.35
Tommy Novak	13.1	0	1	1	0.08	-0.26
Andrei Kuzmenko	14.3	0	1	0	0.04	+0.05
Kaedan Korczak	16.4	0	1	0	0.00	-0.36
Spencer Stastney	21.1	0	1	0	0.00	-0.60
Nick Robertson	13.2	0	0	2	0.24	-0.26
Blake Lizotte	11.9	0	0	2	0.22	-0.03
Sidney Crosby	18.5	0	0	1	0.19	-0.89
Ben Kindel	18.9	0	0	1	0.12	-0.48
Kris Letang	21.9	0	0	3	0.10	-0.54
Connor Dewar	13.2	0	0	1	0.09	-0.36
Evgeni Malkin	16.6	0	0	1	0.07	+0.10
Ilya Solovyov	15.9	0	0	0	0.03	-0.66
Ville Koivunen	13.3	0	0	0	0.00	-0.38

UTA skaters

Player	TOI	G	A	SOG	ixG	5v5 xG±
Kevin Stenlund	13.7	1	1	2	0.45	+0.24
Nick Schmaltz	17.7	1	1	2	0.43	+0.47
Clayton Keller	19.1	1	1	1	0.11	+0.43
Nate Schmidt	18.5	1	1	1	0.03	+1.00
Kailer Yamamoto	14.1	1	0	2	0.52	+0.83
Barrett Hayton	14.2	0	1	2	0.28	+0.64
Lawson Crouse	15.8	0	1	1	0.27	+0.47
Mikhail Sergachev	24.9	0	1	4	0.21	+0.54
Logan Cooley	16.5	0	1	2	0.13	+0.31
Daniil But	12.1	0	1	1	0.12	+0.23
Jack McBain	12.2	0	1	2	0.10	+0.23
Dylan Guenther	15.8	0	0	2	0.55	+0.13
MacKenzie Weegar	24.0	0	0	3	0.34	+0.67
Anders Lee	13.9	0	0	1	0.31	+0.68
Dmitri Simashev	15.7	0	0	1	0.23	+0.08
Vincent Trocheck	15.0	0	0	0	0.14	+0.30
Nick DeSimone	15.7	0	0	1	0.08	+0.32
Andrew Peeke	18.2	0	0	1	0.07	+0.70

Goalies

Goalie	Team	Unbl. shots	GA	xGA	GSAx
Arturs Silovs	PIT	45	5	4.11	-0.89
Sebastian Cossa	UTA	31	4	2.23	-1.77

DtW replays every unblocked, non-empty-net shot by its xG (shootout excluded; a tie = coin flip), calibrated against real results — so it reads as "teams with these shots win X%". ixG = expected goals from a player's own shots. 5v5 xG± = 5v5 xG for minus against while he was on the ice. GSAx = expected goals against minus goals allowed.