Mon Oct 19 · 2026-27
ANA2FINAL
5NYR
ANA 39%DESERVE TO WIN61% NYR
DESERVED
NYR earned it — a 61% chance to win on the shots.
Expected goals flow
ANANYR
cumulative xG · dots = goals
| ANA | NYR | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2 | 5 |
| xG (all) | 3.37 | 4.63 |
| xG (5v5) | 2.43 | 3.60 |
| Shot attempts | 62 | 55 |
| Shots on goal | 31 | 30 |
ANA skaters
| Player | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | 5v5 xG± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A.J. Greer | 13.9 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0.80 | -0.28 |
| Nick Jensen | 18.5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.15 | -1.16 |
| Alex Killorn | 18.7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.04 | +0.06 |
| Frank Vatrano | 14.6 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0.04 | -0.05 |
| Pavel Mintyukov | 19.3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.84 |
| Tim Washe | 15.5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.56 | +0.42 |
| Mikael Granlund | 16.1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.44 | -0.64 |
| Cutter Gauthier | 16.2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0.32 | -0.95 |
| Beckett Sennecke | 15.6 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.30 | -0.65 |
| Judd Caulfield | 13.4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.26 | +0.27 |
| Roger McQueen | 16.4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.14 | -0.99 |
| Leo Carlsson | 15.2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.11 | -0.10 |
| Jeff Malott | 9.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.09 | -0.13 |
| Tristan Luneau | 20.8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.06 | +0.94 |
| Tyson Hinds | 20.3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.06 | +0.24 |
| Noah Warren | 15.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.01 | -0.97 |
| Jackson LaCombe | 20.8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | -0.78 |
| Nikita Klepov | 12.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.30 |
NYR skaters
| Player | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | 5v5 xG± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oliver Bjorkstrand | 12.1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0.67 | -0.08 |
| Alexis Lafrenière | 17.0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0.38 | +0.64 |
| Pavel Dorofeyev | 17.9 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1.40 | +0.96 |
| Gabe Perreault | 15.7 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0.63 | +0.59 |
| J.T. Miller | 19.1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0.34 | +1.03 |
| Tye Kartye | 14.0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0.20 | +1.09 |
| Braden Schneider | 19.0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0.12 | +0.33 |
| Mika Zibanejad | 18.7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.11 | +0.56 |
| Taylor Raddysh | 10.0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.04 | -0.06 |
| Sean Durzi | 17.4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.01 | +0.53 |
| Adam Fox | 21.8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.00 | +0.48 |
| Will Cuylle | 17.1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.33 | -0.21 |
| Eeli Tolvanen | 13.8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.18 | -0.38 |
| Noah Laba | 15.1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.09 | -0.38 |
| Marcus Pettersson | 19.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.06 | +0.84 |
| Vladislav Gavrikov | 21.3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.04 | +0.16 |
| Alberts Smits | 16.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.02 | -0.07 |
| Justin Dowling | 8.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.12 |
Goalies
| Goalie | Team | Unbl. shots | GA | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ville Husso | ANA | 42 | 5 | 4.63 | -0.37 |
| Dylan Garand | NYR | 44 | 2 | 3.37 | +1.37 |
DtW replays every unblocked, non-empty-net shot by its xG (shootout excluded; a tie = coin
flip), calibrated against real results — so it reads as "teams with these shots win X%". ixG = expected goals from a player's own shots. 5v5 xG± = 5v5 xG for minus
against while he was on the ice. GSAx = expected goals against minus goals allowed.