ON-ICE IQ · CBJ 1 @ MIN 2

ON-ICE IQ ← ALL GAMES

Sun Oct 18 · 2026-27

CBJ1

FINAL

2MIN

CBJ 24%DESERVE TO WIN76% MIN

DESERVED MIN earned it — a 76% chance to win on the shots.

Expected goals flow

CBJMIN cumulative xG · dots = goals

	CBJ	MIN
Goals	1	2
xG (all)	1.27	4.05
xG (5v5)	0.64	2.80
Shot attempts	39	66
Shots on goal	14	34

CBJ skaters

Player	TOI	G	A	SOG	ixG	5v5 xG±
Adam Fantilli	21.3	1	0	2	0.15	-0.87
Zach Werenski	28.7	0	1	3	0.09	-1.06
Sean Monahan	17.0	0	1	0	0.03	-0.28
Charlie Coyle	19.7	0	0	2	0.27	-0.70
Kent Johnson	18.9	0	0	2	0.27	-0.84
Matthew Knies	19.9	0	0	0	0.18	-0.56
Conor Garland	11.3	0	0	1	0.12	+0.06
Denton Mateychuk	19.9	0	0	1	0.05	-1.11
Valeri Nichushkin	16.6	0	0	1	0.05	-0.12
Damon Severson	23.4	0	0	1	0.03	-1.09
Ryan Lomberg	7.4	0	0	1	0.01	-0.43
Mathieu Olivier	18.1	0	0	0	0.00	-1.00
Jake Christiansen	16.8	0	0	0	0.00	-0.35
Erik Gudbranson	14.3	0	0	0	0.00	-0.35
Cole Sillinger	13.6	0	0	0	0.00	-0.92
Carson Soucy	11.9	0	0	0	0.00	-0.36
Danton Heinen	8.2	0	0	0	0.00	-0.34
Luca Del Bel Belluz	7.8	0	0	0	0.00	-0.48

MIN skaters

Player	TOI	G	A	SOG	ixG	5v5 xG±
Kirill Kaprizov	22.5	1	0	5	0.85	+0.70
Joel Eriksson Ek	21.3	0	1	2	0.82	+0.72
Danila Yurov	14.9	1	0	4	0.65	+0.61
Max Shabanov	13.5	0	1	0	0.38	+0.54
Yakov Trenin	12.7	0	1	0	0.07	+0.63
Matt Boldy	21.8	0	0	6	0.54	+0.68
Quinn Hughes	25.4	0	0	3	0.34	+0.70
Tyler Pitlick	8.3	0	0	1	0.23	+0.51
Daemon Hunt	19.4	0	0	0	0.15	+0.83
Ryan Hartman	13.1	0	0	2	0.13	+0.32
Bobby Brink	16.1	0	0	0	0.11	+0.44
Zach Bogosian	21.1	0	0	4	0.10	+0.93
Matt Kiersted	12.5	0	0	3	0.09	+0.52
Rieger Lorenz	8.4	0	0	1	0.08	+0.51
Blake Coleman	16.4	0	0	2	0.05	+0.32
David Spacek	14.1	0	0	1	0.01	+0.50
Michael McCarron	11.5	0	0	0	0.01	+0.51
Jonas Brodin	22.9	0	0	0	0.00	+0.85

Goalies

Goalie	Team	Unbl. shots	GA	xGA	GSAx
Cam Talbot	CBJ	54	2	4.05	+2.05
Jesper Wallstedt	MIN	23	1	1.27	+0.27

DtW replays every unblocked, non-empty-net shot by its xG (shootout excluded; a tie = coin flip), calibrated against real results — so it reads as "teams with these shots win X%". ixG = expected goals from a player's own shots. 5v5 xG± = 5v5 xG for minus against while he was on the ice. GSAx = expected goals against minus goals allowed.