ON-ICE IQ · PIT 2 @ VGK 6

ON-ICE IQ ← ALL GAMES

Sat Oct 17 · 2026-27

PIT2

FINAL

6VGK

PIT 56%DESERVE TO WIN44% VGK

TOSS-UP A toss-up on the shots — VGK had a 44% chance and got it.

Expected goals flow

PITVGK cumulative xG · dots = goals

	PIT	VGK
Goals	2	6
xG (all)	3.34	2.46
xG (5v5)	3.21	1.92
Shot attempts	47	45
Shots on goal	24	20

PIT skaters

Player	TOI	G	A	SOG	ixG	5v5 xG±
Tommy Novak	12.7	0	2	1	0.13	+0.81
Evgeni Malkin	12.8	1	0	2	0.77	+0.89
Ville Koivunen	13.0	0	1	2	0.37	+0.92
Sidney Crosby	18.3	1	0	1	0.23	-0.25
Erik Karlsson	21.9	0	1	1	0.04	-0.49
Rickard Rakell	19.6	0	0	2	0.37	-0.38
Elmer Soderblom	12.2	0	0	1	0.31	+0.58
Connor Dewar	13.0	0	0	3	0.26	+0.50
Ben Kindel	15.6	0	0	4	0.21	+0.21
Andrei Kuzmenko	13.6	0	0	0	0.13	+0.25
Nick Robertson	13.6	0	0	1	0.12	+0.25
Spencer Stastney	21.6	0	0	1	0.11	+0.45
Kris Letang	20.1	0	0	2	0.10	+0.83
Blake Lizotte	13.1	0	0	0	0.10	+0.52
Declan Carlile	21.2	0	0	1	0.09	+1.03
Kaedan Korczak	23.9	0	0	1	0.01	+0.32
Bryan Rust	19.0	0	0	1	0.01	-0.32
Samuel Girard	11.4	0	0	0	0.00	+0.31

VGK skaters

Player	TOI	G	A	SOG	ixG	5v5 xG±
Mark Stone	14.8	1	2	1	0.29	-0.27
Trevor Connelly	14.5	1	1	2	0.26	+0.22
Mitch Marner	17.1	0	2	1	0.08	+0.01
Jack Eichel	16.8	0	2	0	0.00	-0.31
Brett Howden	15.0	1	0	1	0.37	-0.13
Noah Hanifin	20.8	1	0	3	0.32	-1.14
William Karlsson	13.9	0	1	1	0.23	+0.04
Shea Theodore	21.3	1	0	1	0.18	-0.39
Rasmus Andersson	20.6	1	0	2	0.17	-0.06
Brayden McNabb	20.0	0	1	1	0.05	+0.57
Raphael Lavoie	13.5	0	0	3	0.29	+0.07
Tomas Hertl	15.4	0	0	1	0.20	-0.04
Marc Gatcomb	15.3	0	0	3	0.19	-1.09
Braeden Bowman	14.5	0	0	0	0.08	-1.10
Dylan Coghlan	15.8	0	0	0	0.03	-1.09
Jeremy Lauzon	18.1	0	0	0	0.00	-0.46
Nic Dowd	16.1	0	0	0	0.00	-0.99
Ivan Barbashev	14.2	0	0	0	0.00	-0.27

Goalies

Goalie	Team	Unbl. shots	GA	xGA	GSAx
Adin Hill	VGK	40	2	3.34	+1.34
Sergei Murashov	PIT	31	5	2.46	-2.54

DtW replays every unblocked, non-empty-net shot by its xG (shootout excluded; a tie = coin flip), calibrated against real results — so it reads as "teams with these shots win X%". ixG = expected goals from a player's own shots. 5v5 xG± = 5v5 xG for minus against while he was on the ice. GSAx = expected goals against minus goals allowed.