Sat Oct 17 · 2026-27
EDM6FINAL
2UTA
EDM 48%DESERVE TO WIN52% UTA
TOSS-UP
A toss-up on the shots — EDM had a 48% chance and got it.
Expected goals flow
EDMUTA
cumulative xG · dots = goals
| EDM | UTA | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | 6 | 2 |
| xG (all) | 2.88 | 2.94 |
| xG (5v5) | 2.68 | 2.44 |
| Shot attempts | 45 | 62 |
| Shots on goal | 21 | 28 |
EDM skaters
| Player | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | 5v5 xG± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor McDavid | 19.9 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0.40 | +0.16 |
| Leon Draisaitl | 18.5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0.22 | +0.13 |
| Vasily Podkolzin | 17.5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0.00 | +0.03 |
| Mathieu Joseph | 12.6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0.48 | +0.29 |
| Kasperi Kapanen | 18.0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0.22 | +0.47 |
| Zach Hyman | 16.5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.20 | -0.09 |
| Evan Bouchard | 24.1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0.06 | +0.45 |
| Mattias Ekholm | 22.7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.00 | +0.02 |
| Filip Hallander | 10.4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.41 | -0.11 |
| Colton Dach | 16.9 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.41 | +0.10 |
| Alex Formenton | 12.1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.23 | -0.06 |
| Jake Walman | 16.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.14 | +0.75 |
| Trent Frederic | 9.4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.07 | -0.03 |
| Ryan Shea | 21.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.01 | -0.41 |
| Connor Murphy | 21.1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.01 | -0.40 |
| Owen Michaels | 13.1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.01 | -0.06 |
| Isaac Howard | 10.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.01 | -0.12 |
| Ty Emberson | 14.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | +0.06 |
UTA skaters
| Player | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | 5v5 xG± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mikhail Sergachev | 21.0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0.13 | +0.03 |
| John Marino | 20.6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0.13 | -0.17 |
| Daniil But | 13.1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.12 | +0.28 |
| Kevin Stenlund | 13.3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.06 | +0.17 |
| Anders Lee | 15.4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.64 | +0.30 |
| Nick Schmaltz | 17.0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.29 | -0.65 |
| MacKenzie Weegar | 22.6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.22 | +0.35 |
| Dmitri Simashev | 17.7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.22 | -0.12 |
| Vincent Trocheck | 15.6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.22 | -0.34 |
| Lawson Crouse | 12.9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.16 | -0.36 |
| Barrett Hayton | 15.2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.14 | +0.58 |
| Kailer Yamamoto | 16.9 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.13 | +0.18 |
| Jack McBain | 12.3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.12 | +0.16 |
| Clayton Keller | 16.7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.11 | -0.44 |
| Logan Cooley | 17.9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.10 | -0.34 |
| Dylan Guenther | 16.9 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.09 | -0.34 |
| Nate Schmidt | 17.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.05 | -0.31 |
| Andrew Peeke | 17.8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.01 | -0.20 |
Goalies
| Goalie | Team | Unbl. shots | GA | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tristan Jarry | EDM | 42 | 2 | 2.94 | +0.94 |
| Karel Vejmelka | UTA | 27 | 5 | 2.19 | -2.81 |
| Sebastian Cossa | UTA | 9 | 1 | 0.68 | -0.32 |
DtW replays every unblocked, non-empty-net shot by its xG (shootout excluded; a tie = coin
flip), calibrated against real results — so it reads as "teams with these shots win X%". ixG = expected goals from a player's own shots. 5v5 xG± = 5v5 xG for minus
against while he was on the ice. GSAx = expected goals against minus goals allowed.