Sat Oct 17 · 2026-27
BOS4FINAL
1LAK
BOS 43%DESERVE TO WIN57% LAK
TOSS-UP
A toss-up on the shots — BOS had a 43% chance and got it.
Expected goals flow
BOSLAK
cumulative xG · dots = goals
| BOS | LAK | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | 4 | 1 |
| xG (all) | 2.14 | 2.74 |
| xG (5v5) | 1.82 | 2.10 |
| Shot attempts | 61 | 61 |
| Shots on goal | 28 | 26 |
BOS skaters
| Player | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | 5v5 xG± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marat Khusnutdinov | 11.1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0.33 | +0.23 |
| David Pastrnak | 20.9 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0.32 | -0.17 |
| Elias Lindholm | 16.8 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0.45 | -0.65 |
| JJ Peterka | 18.0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0.34 | +0.30 |
| Fraser Minten | 20.5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0.27 | -0.09 |
| Matthew Poitras | 10.5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.18 | +0.16 |
| Charlie McAvoy | 25.9 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0.07 | -0.15 |
| Morgan Geekie | 17.8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.06 | -0.18 |
| Tanner Jeannot | 11.1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.25 | +0.36 |
| Mason Lohrei | 18.4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.15 | -0.05 |
| James Hagens | 11.3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.09 | -0.55 |
| Sean Kuraly | 14.3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.09 | +0.30 |
| Casey Mittelstadt | 13.9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.05 | -0.81 |
| Will Borgen | 16.9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.02 | -0.15 |
| Hampus Lindholm | 20.5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.01 | -0.06 |
| Mark Kastelic | 11.4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | +0.27 |
| Jonathan Aspirot | 18.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.10 |
| Frederic Brunet | 16.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.04 |
LAK skaters
| Player | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | 5v5 xG± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Laferriere | 21.1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0.52 | +0.34 |
| Adrian Kempe | 21.5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.23 | +0.28 |
| Brandt Clarke | 21.4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.00 | +0.38 |
| Brian Dumoulin | 13.0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.31 | +0.07 |
| Samuel Helenius | 7.7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.26 | -0.21 |
| Artemi Panarin | 24.3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.25 | +0.42 |
| Scott Laughton | 16.1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.20 | -0.01 |
| Joel Edmundson | 18.7 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0.20 | +0.08 |
| Joel Armia | 15.1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.20 | +0.19 |
| Trevor Moore | 16.8 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.19 | +0.17 |
| Quinton Byfield | 21.9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.15 | +0.10 |
| Andre Lee | 12.5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.13 | -0.30 |
| Drew Doughty | 19.9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.08 | -0.16 |
| Mikey Anderson | 11.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.01 | +0.08 |
| Erik Haula | 15.1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | +0.33 |
| Erik Gustafsson | 18.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | +0.25 |
| Cody Ceci | 11.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.15 |
| Corey Perry | 10.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.47 |
Goalies
| Goalie | Team | Unbl. shots | GA | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anton Forsberg | LAK | 36 | 2 | 2.14 | +0.14 |
| Jeremy Swayman | BOS | 41 | 1 | 2.74 | +1.74 |
DtW replays every unblocked, non-empty-net shot by its xG (shootout excluded; a tie = coin
flip), calibrated against real results — so it reads as "teams with these shots win X%". ixG = expected goals from a player's own shots. 5v5 xG± = 5v5 xG for minus
against while he was on the ice. GSAx = expected goals against minus goals allowed.