ON-ICE IQ · STL 2 @ NSH 5

ON-ICE IQ ← ALL GAMES

Sat Oct 17 · 2026-27

STL2

FINAL

5NSH

STL 42%DESERVE TO WIN58% NSH

TOSS-UP A toss-up on the shots — NSH had a 58% chance and got it.

Expected goals flow

STLNSH cumulative xG · dots = goals

	STL	NSH
Goals	2	5
xG (all)	2.29	2.93
xG (5v5)	1.59	2.31
Shot attempts	57	44
Shots on goal	26	24

STL skaters

Player	TOI	G	A	SOG	ixG	5v5 xG±
Jimmy Snuggerud	17.8	1	0	3	0.53	-0.06
Mason McTavish	18.0	0	1	2	0.37	-0.73
Philip Broberg	26.4	1	0	4	0.37	-0.75
Dylan Holloway	19.6	0	1	2	0.11	-0.09
Jake Neighbours	16.6	0	1	0	0.00	-0.70
Dalibor Dvorsky	10.6	0	0	2	0.24	+0.35
Jonatan Berggren	18.2	0	0	2	0.18	-0.05
Pavel Buchnevich	18.5	0	0	1	0.13	-0.19
Justin Barron	11.5	0	0	3	0.12	-0.12
Cam Fowler	20.2	0	0	2	0.11	+0.40
Brandon Carlo	13.2	0	0	0	0.07	+0.22
Pius Suter	15.5	0	0	1	0.02	-0.31
Theo Lindstein	13.4	0	0	1	0.02	-0.49
Dylan Peterson	9.9	0	0	1	0.01	+0.11
Adam Jiricek	9.9	0	0	1	0.01	+0.38
Colton Parayko	17.8	0	0	1	0.00	-1.06
Robert Thomas	22.9	0	0	0	0.00	+0.15
Connor McMichael	18.5	0	0	0	0.00	-0.62

NSH skaters

Player	TOI	G	A	SOG	ixG	5v5 xG±
Steven Stamkos	17.6	0	2	1	0.50	+0.88
Filip Forsberg	19.2	1	1	2	0.06	+0.87
Roman Josi	24.6	0	2	1	0.04	+1.22
Adam Wilsby	22.1	0	2	0	0.03	+1.31
Ryan O'Reilly	20.6	1	0	4	0.87	+0.85
Jack Drury	18.5	1	0	3	0.58	+0.03
Adam Edstrom	17.3	1	0	3	0.24	+0.02
Jonathan Marchessault	15.6	1	0	4	0.20	-0.29
Jayden Struble	19.8	0	0	0	0.17	-0.29
Alexander Kerfoot	18.4	0	0	2	0.08	+0.08
Nicolas Hague	18.2	0	0	1	0.06	-0.16
Vitali Pinchuk	4.0	0	0	1	0.05	-0.32
Ross Colton	11.5	0	0	1	0.02	-0.30
Matthew Wood	9.7	0	0	0	0.02	+0.13
Nick Perbix	16.4	0	0	0	0.02	-0.23
Brady Skjei	17.7	0	0	1	0.00	-0.35
Reid Schaefer	9.7	0	0	0	0.00	+0.01
Nils Hoglander	9.3	0	0	0	0.00	+0.17

Goalies

Goalie	Team	Unbl. shots	GA	xGA	GSAx
Jordan Binnington	STL	38	4	2.93	-1.07
Juuse Saros	NSH	36	2	2.29	+0.29

DtW replays every unblocked, non-empty-net shot by its xG (shootout excluded; a tie = coin flip), calibrated against real results — so it reads as "teams with these shots win X%". ixG = expected goals from a player's own shots. 5v5 xG± = 5v5 xG for minus against while he was on the ice. GSAx = expected goals against minus goals allowed.