Sat Oct 17 · 2026-27
DAL4FINAL
0CHI
DAL 57%DESERVE TO WIN43% CHI
TOSS-UP
A toss-up on the shots — DAL had a 57% chance and got it.
Expected goals flow
DALCHI
cumulative xG · dots = goals
| DAL | CHI | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | 4 | 0 |
| xG (all) | 3.56 | 2.51 |
| xG (5v5) | 1.53 | 1.87 |
| Shot attempts | 56 | 48 |
| Shots on goal | 32 | 19 |
DAL skaters
| Player | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | 5v5 xG± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arttu Hyry | 12.0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 0.67 | -0.01 |
| Jason Robertson | 19.6 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 0.62 | +0.59 |
| Roope Hintz | 16.9 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0.24 | +0.41 |
| Tyler Seguin | 17.1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0.22 | +0.16 |
| Mikko Rantanen | 18.8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.21 | -0.30 |
| Sam Steel | 13.7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.13 | +0.37 |
| Nils Lundkvist | 18.1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.12 | +0.29 |
| Thomas Harley | 24.8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.00 | +0.20 |
| Wyatt Johnston | 20.4 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0.84 | -0.58 |
| Radek Faksa | 10.8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.25 | -0.17 |
| Jamie Benn | 12.1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.11 | -0.11 |
| Miro Heiskanen | 24.1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.10 | +0.43 |
| Colin Blackwell | 10.6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.03 | -0.24 |
| Joel Kiviranta | 12.9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.01 | -0.83 |
| Justin Hryckowian | 12.8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.01 | -0.33 |
| Esa Lindell | 20.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | +0.32 |
| Tyler Myers | 14.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.98 |
| Lian Bichsel | 13.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.96 |
CHI skaters
| Player | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | 5v5 xG± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Bedard | 20.7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.49 | +0.12 |
| Jordan Greenway | 11.1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.37 | +0.46 |
| Oliver Moore | 11.3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.32 | +0.13 |
| Patrick Kane | 19.4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.30 | -0.03 |
| Ryan Greene | 9.8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.23 | +0.37 |
| Cole Smith | 10.7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.19 | +0.32 |
| Tyler Bertuzzi | 17.4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.14 | -0.21 |
| Wyatt Kaiser | 21.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.12 | -0.29 |
| Alex Vlasic | 19.5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.09 | -0.35 |
| Anton Frondell | 12.7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.09 | -0.16 |
| Frank Nazar | 17.4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.08 | +0.09 |
| Sam Rinzel | 15.4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.05 | +0.97 |
| Ethan Del Mastro | 15.1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.03 | +0.85 |
| Artyom Levshunov | 21.5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.02 | -0.24 |
| Roman Kantserov | 18.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | +0.10 |
| Ian Cole | 18.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.26 |
| Teuvo Teravainen | 17.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.23 |
| Ryan Donato | 13.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | +0.08 |
Goalies
| Goalie | Team | Unbl. shots | GA | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jake Oettinger | DAL | 34 | 0 | 2.51 | +2.51 |
| Spencer Knight | CHI | 45 | 4 | 3.56 | -0.44 |
DtW replays every unblocked, non-empty-net shot by its xG (shootout excluded; a tie = coin
flip), calibrated against real results — so it reads as "teams with these shots win X%". ixG = expected goals from a player's own shots. 5v5 xG± = 5v5 xG for minus
against while he was on the ice. GSAx = expected goals against minus goals allowed.