Sat Oct 17 · 2026-27
NYR0FINAL OT
1CBJ
NYR 50%DESERVE TO WIN50% CBJ
TOSS-UP
A toss-up on the shots — CBJ had a 50% chance and got it.
Expected goals flow
NYRCBJ
cumulative xG · dots = goals
| NYR | CBJ | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | 0 | 1 |
| xG (all) | 3.37 | 3.16 |
| xG (5v5) | 2.57 | 1.92 |
| Shot attempts | 67 | 57 |
| Shots on goal | 29 | 29 |
NYR skaters
| Player | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | 5v5 xG± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gabe Perreault | 18.6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0.77 | +0.15 |
| Pavel Dorofeyev | 20.2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.48 | +0.35 |
| Oliver Bjorkstrand | 8.7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.37 | +0.14 |
| Will Cuylle | 14.9 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.33 | +0.69 |
| Mika Zibanejad | 24.7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.26 | +0.25 |
| Adam Fox | 24.1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.21 | -0.08 |
| Noah Laba | 14.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.21 | +0.37 |
| J.T. Miller | 21.6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.20 | -0.00 |
| Tye Kartye | 16.3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.14 | -0.49 |
| Alexis Lafrenière | 22.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.13 | +0.13 |
| Vladislav Gavrikov | 21.8 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.08 | +0.06 |
| Braden Schneider | 19.3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.07 | +0.87 |
| Justin Dowling | 6.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.05 | +0.14 |
| Marcus Pettersson | 20.7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.03 | -0.28 |
| Sean Durzi | 20.2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.02 | -0.18 |
| Eeli Tolvanen | 11.1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.02 | +0.31 |
| Alberts Smits | 14.8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.01 | +0.66 |
| Taylor Raddysh | 7.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | +0.17 |
CBJ skaters
| Player | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | 5v5 xG± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kent Johnson | 20.9 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0.35 | -0.12 |
| Charlie Coyle | 21.4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.14 | +0.57 |
| Zach Werenski | 32.3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.07 | -0.37 |
| Adam Fantilli | 23.5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0.61 | -0.13 |
| Mathieu Olivier | 16.7 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.46 | +0.26 |
| Cole Sillinger | 15.3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.34 | +0.25 |
| Valeri Nichushkin | 17.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.20 | -0.89 |
| Conor Garland | 13.4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.18 | -0.60 |
| Danton Heinen | 6.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.18 | -0.19 |
| Sean Monahan | 18.7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.18 | -1.06 |
| Matthew Knies | 21.2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.17 | +0.03 |
| Denton Mateychuk | 25.2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.14 | -0.21 |
| Erik Gudbranson | 18.1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.13 | +0.45 |
| Ryan Lomberg | 5.9 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.02 | +0.13 |
| Damon Severson | 26.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.67 |
| Jake Christiansen | 13.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.62 |
| Luca Del Bel Belluz | 5.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.06 |
| Emil Andrae | 5.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.06 |
Goalies
| Goalie | Team | Unbl. shots | GA | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dylan Garand | NYR | 45 | 1 | 3.16 | +2.16 |
| Jet Greaves | CBJ | 47 | 0 | 3.37 | +3.37 |
DtW replays every unblocked, non-empty-net shot by its xG (shootout excluded; a tie = coin
flip), calibrated against real results — so it reads as "teams with these shots win X%". ixG = expected goals from a player's own shots. 5v5 xG± = 5v5 xG for minus
against while he was on the ice. GSAx = expected goals against minus goals allowed.