Sat Oct 17 · 2026-27
OTT1FINAL
3PHI
OTT 50%DESERVE TO WIN50% PHI
TOSS-UP
A toss-up on the shots — PHI had a 50% chance and got it.
Expected goals flow
OTTPHI
cumulative xG · dots = goals
| OTT | PHI | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1 | 3 |
| xG (all) | 2.39 | 2.23 |
| xG (5v5) | 1.73 | 0.67 |
| Shot attempts | 54 | 57 |
| Shots on goal | 26 | 28 |
OTT skaters
| Player | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | 5v5 xG± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Drake Batherson | 20.0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0.28 | +0.36 |
| Tim Stützle | 23.1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.13 | +0.45 |
| Claude Giroux | 19.3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.06 | +0.54 |
| Stephen Halliday | 14.4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.41 | -0.01 |
| Warren Foegele | 13.4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.28 | +0.46 |
| Dylan Cozens | 14.8 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.23 | +0.20 |
| Nick Cousins | 8.7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.22 | +0.15 |
| Carter Yakemchuk | 21.8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.18 | +0.49 |
| Ridly Greig | 15.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.15 | +0.19 |
| Shane Pinto | 18.6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.12 | +0.23 |
| Nikolas Matinpalo | 17.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.11 | +0.17 |
| Tyler Kleven | 22.5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.08 | +0.44 |
| Michael Amadio | 11.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.05 | +0.25 |
| Thomas Chabot | 12.1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.03 | +0.06 |
| Artem Zub | 20.4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.03 | +0.41 |
| Jordan Spence | 20.3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.03 | +0.50 |
| Fabian Zetterlund | 13.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | +0.38 |
| Andre Burakovsky | 9.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | +0.02 |
PHI skaters
| Player | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | 5v5 xG± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matvei Michkov | 14.5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0.60 | -0.04 |
| Porter Martone | 13.5 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0.39 | -0.08 |
| Trevor Zegras | 19.3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0.62 | -0.54 |
| Michael Bunting | 15.5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0.15 | -0.03 |
| Sean Couturier | 18.0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.03 | -0.05 |
| Christian Dvorak | 21.7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.62 |
| Tyson Foerster | 18.4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.29 | -0.59 |
| Travis Sanheim | 27.0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.11 | -0.62 |
| Jamie Drysdale | 21.1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.10 | -0.45 |
| David Jiricek | 14.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.08 | -0.05 |
| Noel Acciari | 11.9 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.04 | -0.36 |
| Denver Barkey | 15.7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.04 | +0.02 |
| Oliver Bonk | 19.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.03 | -0.36 |
| Noah Cates | 14.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.02 | -0.09 |
| Nick Seeler | 20.5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | -0.55 |
| Simon Benoit | 15.1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | -0.09 |
| Jack Studnicka | 9.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.35 |
| Garrett Wilson | 7.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.44 |
Goalies
| Goalie | Team | Unbl. shots | GA | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Linus Ullmark | OTT | 38 | 2 | 2.23 | +0.23 |
| Dan Vladar | PHI | 36 | 1 | 2.39 | +1.39 |
DtW replays every unblocked, non-empty-net shot by its xG (shootout excluded; a tie = coin
flip), calibrated against real results — so it reads as "teams with these shots win X%". ixG = expected goals from a player's own shots. 5v5 xG± = 5v5 xG for minus
against while he was on the ice. GSAx = expected goals against minus goals allowed.