Sat Oct 17 · 2026-27
NYI4FINAL
1TOR
NYI 39%DESERVE TO WIN61% TOR
STOLE IT
NYI stole it — only a 39% chance to win on the shots.
Expected goals flow
NYITOR
cumulative xG · dots = goals
| NYI | TOR | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | 4 | 1 |
| xG (all) | 2.24 | 3.39 |
| xG (5v5) | 1.96 | 2.06 |
| Shot attempts | 53 | 45 |
| Shots on goal | 20 | 29 |
NYI skaters
| Player | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | 5v5 xG± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Simon Holmstrom | 20.0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0.52 | +0.31 |
| Bo Horvat | 24.4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0.35 | -0.03 |
| Kyle Palmieri | 14.6 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0.47 | +0.57 |
| Matthew Schaefer | 24.4 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0.24 | +0.11 |
| Anthony Duclair | 15.3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.16 | -0.31 |
| Jean-Gabriel Pageau | 19.5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.13 | -0.12 |
| Emil Heineman | 16.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.20 | -0.34 |
| Brayden Schenn | 19.6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.19 | -0.38 |
| Logan Stanley | 22.3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.07 | +0.30 |
| Ondrej Palat | 13.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.06 | +0.36 |
| Victor Eklund | 12.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.05 | -0.49 |
| Ryan Pulock | 20.6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.04 | -0.21 |
| Tony DeAngelo | 15.2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.01 | +0.02 |
| Matthew Kessel | 16.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.01 | -0.12 |
| Adam Pelech | 18.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.01 | -0.20 |
| Casey Cizikas | 14.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | +0.19 |
| Matias Maccelli | 5.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.01 |
| Calum Ritchie | 0.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.15 |
TOR skaters
| Player | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | 5v5 xG± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Easton Cowan | 14.7 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0.18 | +0.67 |
| Colton Sissons | 15.1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.08 | +0.36 |
| Troy Stecher | 20.4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.16 |
| Gavin McKenna | 17.9 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.63 | -0.04 |
| Auston Matthews | 19.9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.61 | -0.35 |
| Kirill Marchenko | 16.8 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0.47 | +0.43 |
| Jack Roslovic | 15.9 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0.41 | -0.44 |
| Nick Paul | 14.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.34 | +0.55 |
| Jake McCabe | 19.9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.11 | -0.06 |
| Zack MacEwen | 9.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.10 | -0.01 |
| Darren Raddysh | 24.4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.10 | +0.10 |
| William Nylander | 20.6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.09 | -0.91 |
| Brandon Duhaime | 11.9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.09 | +0.14 |
| Nick Blankenburg | 13.7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.08 | +0.31 |
| Teddy Blueger | 14.8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.05 | -0.48 |
| Bo Groulx | 10.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.04 | +0.39 |
| Morgan Rielly | 17.8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.01 | -0.58 |
| Oliver Ekman-Larsson | 18.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | +0.59 |
Goalies
| Goalie | Team | Unbl. shots | GA | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sergei Bobrovsky | TOR | 34 | 3 | 2.24 | -0.76 |
| Ilya Sorokin | NYI | 41 | 1 | 3.39 | +2.39 |
DtW replays every unblocked, non-empty-net shot by its xG (shootout excluded; a tie = coin
flip), calibrated against real results — so it reads as "teams with these shots win X%". ixG = expected goals from a player's own shots. 5v5 xG± = 5v5 xG for minus
against while he was on the ice. GSAx = expected goals against minus goals allowed.