Sat Oct 17 · 2026-27
SEA3FINAL
8FLA
SEA 27%DESERVE TO WIN73% FLA
DESERVED
FLA earned it — a 73% chance to win on the shots.
Expected goals flow
SEAFLA
cumulative xG · dots = goals
| SEA | FLA | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | 3 | 8 |
| xG (all) | 1.75 | 4.50 |
| xG (5v5) | 1.44 | 3.20 |
| Shot attempts | 45 | 79 |
| Shots on goal | 23 | 37 |
SEA skaters
| Player | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | 5v5 xG± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Berkly Catton | 15.0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0.17 | +0.08 |
| Kaapo Kakko | 15.1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0.11 | +0.04 |
| Frederick Gaudreau | 15.3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.14 | -0.05 |
| Shane Wright | 14.3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.08 | -0.12 |
| Ryker Evans | 23.5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0.07 | -0.74 |
| Adam Larsson | 18.9 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.03 | -0.92 |
| Jordan Eberle | 14.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.21 | -1.42 |
| Ville Ottavainen | 16.1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.17 | -0.13 |
| Matty Beniers | 18.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.17 | -0.19 |
| Jared McCann | 19.0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.15 | -0.46 |
| Chandler Stephenson | 15.4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.09 | -1.72 |
| Ryan Winterton | 12.2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.09 | +0.17 |
| Josh Mahura | 18.6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.08 | -0.29 |
| Vince Dunn | 20.5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.08 | -0.74 |
| Ben Meyers | 13.6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.06 | +0.08 |
| Cale Fleury | 15.7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.03 | -0.75 |
| Mackie Samoskevich | 16.7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.03 | -0.37 |
| Bobby McMann | 15.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -1.27 |
FLA skaters
| Player | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | 5v5 xG± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carter Verhaeghe | 17.1 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 0.79 | +0.23 |
| Sam Bennett | 12.4 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 0.57 | +1.44 |
| Matthew Tkachuk | 12.9 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 0.54 | +1.62 |
| Brady Tkachuk | 13.5 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 1.16 | +1.73 |
| Sam Reinhart | 17.4 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0.47 | +0.00 |
| Niko Mikkola | 20.2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0.15 | +0.40 |
| Gustav Forsling | 21.3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.10 | +0.97 |
| Seth Jones | 22.2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.08 | +0.38 |
| Dmitry Kulikov | 17.4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.05 | +0.31 |
| Lars Eller | 16.2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.01 | +0.15 |
| Uvis Balinskis | 17.3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.00 | +0.48 |
| Sandis Vilmanis | 16.6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.24 | +0.10 |
| Bokondji Imama | 10.8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.14 | +0.10 |
| Eetu Luostarinen | 16.4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.07 | +0.07 |
| Aaron Ekblad | 20.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.04 | +1.01 |
| Garnet Hathaway | 12.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.04 | -0.13 |
| Sam Lafferty | 10.7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.02 | -0.21 |
| Anton Lundell | 16.6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.01 | +0.15 |
Goalies
| Goalie | Team | Unbl. shots | GA | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacob Markstrom | FLA | 32 | 3 | 1.75 | -1.25 |
| Joey Daccord | SEA | 58 | 8 | 4.50 | -3.50 |
DtW replays every unblocked, non-empty-net shot by its xG (shootout excluded; a tie = coin
flip), calibrated against real results — so it reads as "teams with these shots win X%". ixG = expected goals from a player's own shots. 5v5 xG± = 5v5 xG for minus
against while he was on the ice. GSAx = expected goals against minus goals allowed.