ON-ICE IQ · VAN 2 @ TBL 4

ON-ICE IQ ← ALL GAMES

Sat Oct 17 · 2026-27

VAN2

FINAL

4TBL

VAN 33%DESERVE TO WIN67% TBL

DESERVED TBL earned it — a 67% chance to win on the shots.

Expected goals flow

VANTBL cumulative xG · dots = goals

	VAN	TBL
Goals	2	4
xG (all)	1.78	3.62
xG (5v5)	1.42	3.36
Shot attempts	51	73
Shots on goal	14	35

VAN skaters

Player	TOI	G	A	SOG	ixG	5v5 xG±
Filip Chytil	20.5	0	1	2	0.26	-0.64
Linus Karlsson	16.8	1	0	3	0.19	-0.50
Elias Pettersson	18.0	1	0	2	0.17	-0.69
Jonathan Lekkerimäki	13.1	0	1	0	0.15	-0.46
Brock Boeser	21.5	0	1	1	0.02	-0.93
Paul Cotter	15.6	0	1	0	0.01	-0.70
Arshdeep Bains	11.7	0	0	1	0.25	+0.07
Max Sasson	10.9	0	0	1	0.21	+0.18
Zeev Buium	17.7	0	0	1	0.14	+0.09
Brendan Gallagher	10.8	0	0	1	0.12	-0.05
Liam Ohgren	12.7	0	0	1	0.12	-0.56
Elias Pettersson	19.9	0	0	1	0.11	-0.85
Drew O'Connor	17.9	0	0	0	0.03	-0.91
Filip Hronek	26.9	0	0	0	0.00	-1.46
Tom Willander	19.8	0	0	0	0.00	-1.03
Jake DeBrusk	16.5	0	0	0	0.00	-0.45
Jamie Oleksiak	15.8	0	0	0	0.00	-0.62
Victor Mancini	10.3	0	0	0	0.00	+0.33

TBL skaters

Player	TOI	G	A	SOG	ixG	5v5 xG±
Nikita Kucherov	20.7	2	0	7	0.89	+1.23
Brayden Point	17.1	0	2	0	0.37	+1.15
Jake Guentzel	19.1	1	1	2	0.27	+0.55
Pontus Holmberg	14.0	1	0	3	0.80	+0.29
Brandon Hagel	20.2	0	1	5	0.40	+0.62
Charle-Edouard D'Astous	16.9	0	1	1	0.07	+0.62
Erik Cernak	21.5	0	0	1	0.32	+0.24
Ilya Mikheyev	15.7	0	0	2	0.32	+0.35
Anthony Cirelli	17.1	0	0	1	0.30	+1.04
Gage Goncalves	16.8	0	0	2	0.24	+1.02
J.J. Moser	20.1	0	0	0	0.23	+1.29
Victor Hedman	12.6	0	0	4	0.21	-0.04
John Carlson	18.4	0	0	4	0.13	+1.30
Zemgus Girgensons	13.3	0	0	1	0.09	+0.29
Conor Geekie	11.1	0	0	1	0.06	-0.30
Emil Lilleberg	15.9	0	0	1	0.03	+0.56
Ryan McDonagh	13.9	0	0	0	0.00	-0.08
Dominic James	9.6	0	0	0	0.00	-0.47

Goalies

Goalie	Team	Unbl. shots	GA	xGA	GSAx
Kevin Lankinen	VAN	52	4	3.62	-0.38
Dennis Hildeby	TBL	27	2	1.78	-0.22

DtW replays every unblocked, non-empty-net shot by its xG (shootout excluded; a tie = coin flip), calibrated against real results — so it reads as "teams with these shots win X%". ixG = expected goals from a player's own shots. 5v5 xG± = 5v5 xG for minus against while he was on the ice. GSAx = expected goals against minus goals allowed.