ON-ICE IQ · CAR 3 @ WPG 2

ON-ICE IQ ← ALL GAMES

Sat Oct 17 · 2026-27

CAR3

FINAL

2WPG

CAR 51%DESERVE TO WIN49% WPG

TOSS-UP A toss-up on the shots — CAR had a 51% chance and got it.

Expected goals flow

CARWPG cumulative xG · dots = goals

	CAR	WPG
Goals	3	2
xG (all)	3.33	2.95
xG (5v5)	2.34	2.14
Shot attempts	74	50
Shots on goal	37	23

CAR skaters

Player	TOI	G	A	SOG	ixG	5v5 xG±
Shayne Gostisbehere	15.8	0	2	3	0.15	+0.32
Mark Jankowski	13.1	1	0	4	0.52	+0.34
Logan Stankoven	17.1	0	1	5	0.29	+0.35
Nikolaj Ehlers	15.9	1	0	1	0.25	-0.43
Jesperi Kotkaniemi	10.0	1	0	1	0.10	+0.18
Bradly Nadeau	15.3	0	1	1	0.09	+0.22
Eric Robinson	10.6	0	1	1	0.04	+0.37
Jackson Blake	20.1	0	0	4	0.74	+0.40
Jordan Martinook	13.8	0	0	2	0.34	+0.21
Jalen Chatfield	20.5	0	0	4	0.21	+0.56
William Carrier	14.8	0	0	0	0.17	+0.04
K'Andre Miller	23.0	0	0	2	0.10	-0.10
Jaccob Slavin	22.0	0	0	3	0.08	+0.69
Andrei Svechnikov	18.6	0	0	2	0.08	-0.59
Sean Walker	22.8	0	0	2	0.08	-0.69
Felix Unger Sörum	9.3	0	0	1	0.06	+0.18
Mike Reilly	12.4	0	0	1	0.01	-0.40
Sebastian Aho	20.9	0	0	0	0.00	-0.69

WPG skaters

Player	TOI	G	A	SOG	ixG	5v5 xG±
Adam Lowry	15.1	0	1	2	0.41	-0.04
Mark Scheifele	19.3	1	0	3	0.27	-0.40
Alex Iafallo	16.4	1	0	2	0.23	-0.10
Nino Niederreiter	14.3	0	0	1	0.62	+0.10
Gabriel Vilardi	18.8	0	0	2	0.41	+0.59
Isak Rosen	15.3	0	0	2	0.21	-0.10
Cole Perfetti	16.7	0	0	3	0.20	-0.40
Viggo Björck	17.2	0	0	1	0.19	+0.53
Kyle Connor	20.2	0	0	2	0.13	-0.40
Morgan Barron	10.8	0	0	1	0.12	+0.20
Haydn Fleury	20.3	0	0	1	0.10	+0.28
Mario Ferraro	18.1	0	0	2	0.02	-0.03
Dylan DeMelo	21.6	0	0	0	0.02	+0.35
Jack St. Ivany	12.4	0	0	0	0.01	-0.09
Neal Pionk	23.4	0	0	1	0.00	-0.36
Dylan Samberg	22.7	0	0	0	0.00	-0.55
Cole Koepke	6.9	0	0	0	0.00	-0.29
Brad Lambert	5.9	0	0	0	0.00	-0.29

Goalies

Goalie	Team	Unbl. shots	GA	xGA	GSAx
Pyotr Kochetkov	CAR	38	2	2.95	+0.95
Clay Stevenson	WPG	52	3	3.33	+0.33

DtW replays every unblocked, non-empty-net shot by its xG (shootout excluded; a tie = coin flip), calibrated against real results — so it reads as "teams with these shots win X%". ixG = expected goals from a player's own shots. 5v5 xG± = 5v5 xG for minus against while he was on the ice. GSAx = expected goals against minus goals allowed.