Sat Oct 17 · 2026-27
NJD2FINAL
4WSH
NJD 61%DESERVE TO WIN39% WSH
STOLE IT
WSH stole it — only a 39% chance to win on the shots.
Expected goals flow
NJDWSH
cumulative xG · dots = goals
| NJD | WSH | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2 | 4 |
| xG (all) | 4.17 | 2.48 |
| xG (5v5) | 2.69 | 2.07 |
| Shot attempts | 81 | 42 |
| Shots on goal | 31 | 25 |
NJD skaters
| Player | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | 5v5 xG± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arseny Gritsyuk | 17.3 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 0.40 | +0.42 |
| Dawson Mercer | 17.1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.36 | +0.32 |
| Timo Meier | 15.1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0.32 | -0.01 |
| Jesper Boqvist | 12.4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.15 | +0.16 |
| Stefan Noesen | 10.2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.12 | +0.03 |
| Jack Hughes | 22.7 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.58 | -0.04 |
| Evan Rodrigues | 15.4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.44 | +0.09 |
| Jesper Bratt | 18.8 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.41 | +0.43 |
| Anthony Mantha | 12.6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.33 | +0.09 |
| Cody Glass | 11.6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.33 | +0.15 |
| Amadeus Lombardi | 10.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.27 | +0.16 |
| Nico Hischier | 19.0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.20 | +0.34 |
| Luke Hughes | 23.5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.16 | +0.56 |
| Dougie Hamilton | 21.9 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.05 | +0.25 |
| Johnathan Kovacevic | 13.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.03 | -0.63 |
| Brett Pesce | 21.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.01 | +0.78 |
| Jonas Siegenthaler | 19.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | +0.42 |
| Declan Chisholm | 13.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.41 |
WSH skaters
| Player | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | 5v5 xG± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vincent Desharnais | 20.4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0.00 | +0.30 |
| Ilya Protas | 12.7 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0.51 | +0.26 |
| Dylan Strome | 18.0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0.46 | -0.17 |
| Ryan Leonard | 13.4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0.28 | -0.63 |
| Boone Jenner | 16.6 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0.26 | -0.10 |
| Alex Ovechkin | 13.9 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.23 | +0.53 |
| Alex Tuch | 18.1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0.17 | -0.09 |
| Jakob Chychrun | 24.0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.06 | -0.25 |
| Martin Fehérváry | 22.5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.03 | +0.41 |
| Jordan Kyrou | 15.1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.01 | -0.02 |
| Cole Hutson | 18.5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.21 | -0.41 |
| Ivan Miroshnichenko | 12.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.18 | +0.01 |
| Timothy Liljegren | 17.8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.06 | -0.58 |
| Jonny Brodzinski | 8.6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.03 | -0.56 |
| Tom Wilson | 16.9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | -0.51 |
| Aliaksei Protas | 16.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | +0.13 |
| Justin Holl | 13.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.73 |
| Anthony Beauvillier | 13.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.64 |
Goalies
| Goalie | Team | Unbl. shots | GA | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jake Allen | NJD | 33 | 4 | 2.48 | -1.52 |
| Logan Thompson | WSH | 56 | 2 | 4.17 | +2.17 |
DtW replays every unblocked, non-empty-net shot by its xG (shootout excluded; a tie = coin
flip), calibrated against real results — so it reads as "teams with these shots win X%". ixG = expected goals from a player's own shots. 5v5 xG± = 5v5 xG for minus
against while he was on the ice. GSAx = expected goals against minus goals allowed.