Fri Oct 16 · 2026-27
BOS4FINAL
2ANA
BOS 45%DESERVE TO WIN55% ANA
TOSS-UP
A toss-up on the shots — BOS had a 45% chance and got it.
Expected goals flow
BOSANA
cumulative xG · dots = goals
| BOS | ANA | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | 4 | 2 |
| xG (all) | 3.35 | 3.81 |
| xG (5v5) | 2.40 | 2.29 |
| Shot attempts | 45 | 71 |
| Shots on goal | 22 | 27 |
BOS skaters
| Player | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | 5v5 xG± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Pastrnak | 20.6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0.74 | -0.37 |
| Elias Lindholm | 18.5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0.62 | +0.07 |
| Pavel Zacha | 17.1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0.17 | -0.09 |
| James Hagens | 10.1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0.16 | +0.18 |
| Morgan Geekie | 20.0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.29 | -0.28 |
| Matthew Poitras | 9.3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0.27 | -0.19 |
| Frederic Brunet | 14.0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0.08 | +0.31 |
| Marat Khusnutdinov | 14.6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.40 | +0.31 |
| JJ Peterka | 14.2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.26 | +0.34 |
| Mark Kastelic | 9.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.20 | -0.14 |
| Fraser Minten | 17.1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.10 | +0.40 |
| Charlie McAvoy | 26.9 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.04 | +0.29 |
| Hampus Lindholm | 25.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.02 | +0.45 |
| Nikita Zadorov | 17.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.01 | -0.52 |
| Casey Mittelstadt | 10.4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | +0.14 |
| Will Borgen | 18.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.49 |
| Mason Lohrei | 15.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | +0.16 |
| Tanner Jeannot | 11.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.06 |
ANA skaters
| Player | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | 5v5 xG± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cutter Gauthier | 21.3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0.64 | +0.05 |
| Nikita Nesterenko | 12.2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0.29 | +0.15 |
| Jackson LaCombe | 26.4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.19 | -0.16 |
| Beckett Sennecke | 23.2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.17 | -0.15 |
| Tristan Luneau | 18.3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.04 | +0.14 |
| Tim Washe | 12.6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.01 | -0.25 |
| Roger McQueen | 15.2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0.99 | +0.11 |
| Leo Carlsson | 20.4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.36 | -0.07 |
| A.J. Greer | 10.9 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.31 | -0.01 |
| Alex Killorn | 16.1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.19 | +0.02 |
| Jeff Malott | 9.6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.18 | +0.01 |
| Judd Caulfield | 13.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.14 | -0.07 |
| Frank Vatrano | 13.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.14 | -0.02 |
| Drew Helleson | 20.2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.12 | +0.03 |
| Tyson Hinds | 14.5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.03 | -0.09 |
| Noah Warren | 14.8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.01 | -0.27 |
| Nikita Klepov | 17.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.05 |
| Pavel Mintyukov | 16.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | +0.10 |
Goalies
| Goalie | Team | Unbl. shots | GA | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael DiPietro | BOS | 51 | 2 | 3.81 | +1.81 |
| Lukas Dostal | ANA | 37 | 4 | 3.35 | -0.65 |
DtW replays every unblocked, non-empty-net shot by its xG (shootout excluded; a tie = coin
flip), calibrated against real results — so it reads as "teams with these shots win X%". ixG = expected goals from a player's own shots. 5v5 xG± = 5v5 xG for minus
against while he was on the ice. GSAx = expected goals against minus goals allowed.