ON-ICE IQ · CGY 2 @ VGK 6

ON-ICE IQ ← ALL GAMES

Thu Oct 15 · 2026-27

CGY2

FINAL

6VGK

CGY 40%DESERVE TO WIN60% VGK

TOSS-UP A toss-up on the shots — VGK had a 60% chance and got it.

Expected goals flow

CGYVGK cumulative xG · dots = goals

	CGY	VGK
Goals	2	6
xG (all)	3.15	4.22
xG (5v5)	2.54	2.30
Shot attempts	63	60
Shots on goal	30	33

CGY skaters

Player	TOI	G	A	SOG	ixG	5v5 xG±
Joel Farabee	20.4	0	1	3	0.43	+0.18
Morgan Frost	15.8	0	1	2	0.39	-0.48
Matt Coronato	16.0	1	0	3	0.33	-0.31
Jake Middleton	19.2	1	0	2	0.11	+0.27
Matvei Gridin	13.7	0	1	0	0.10	+0.99
Martin Pospisil	13.7	0	1	1	0.06	+0.09
Aydar Suniev	14.3	0	0	3	0.34	-0.64
Yegor Sharangovich	12.1	0	0	1	0.34	+0.33
Simon Nemec	20.9	0	0	3	0.22	+0.53
Jonathan Castagna	10.7	0	0	0	0.21	+0.23
Zayne Parekh	17.4	0	0	4	0.21	+0.48
Ryan Strome	13.8	0	0	2	0.17	+0.42
Adam Klapka	11.4	0	0	1	0.10	-0.37
Mikael Backlund	18.7	0	0	1	0.07	+0.03
Maxim Tsyplakov	9.8	0	0	1	0.05	+0.25
Yan Kuznetsov	17.3	0	0	1	0.02	-0.43
Zach Whitecloud	21.4	0	0	2	0.01	-0.69
Kevin Bahl	22.0	0	0	0	0.00	+0.29

VGK skaters

Player	TOI	G	A	SOG	ixG	5v5 xG±
Mark Stone	14.0	3	0	3	0.93	+0.66
Jack Eichel	15.3	1	2	4	0.52	+0.78
Ivan Barbashev	15.4	0	3	4	0.25	+1.11
Mitch Marner	18.7	0	2	1	0.16	-0.16
Braeden Bowman	18.2	1	0	5	0.92	-0.46
William Karlsson	17.1	0	1	1	0.36	+0.10
Brett Howden	14.7	1	0	1	0.02	-0.44
Noah Hanifin	18.4	0	1	0	0.00	-0.08
Tomas Hertl	16.9	0	0	3	0.45	-0.15
Rasmus Andersson	20.1	0	0	3	0.21	-0.16
Trevor Connelly	15.0	0	0	1	0.15	-0.17
Dylan Coghlan	15.4	0	0	3	0.08	-0.13
Brayden McNabb	16.5	0	0	1	0.07	-0.00
Raphael Lavoie	10.6	0	0	1	0.04	-0.30
Shea Theodore	18.8	0	0	1	0.03	+0.47
Jeremy Lauzon	20.8	0	0	0	0.02	-0.58
Marc Gatcomb	14.8	0	0	1	0.00	-0.77
Nic Dowd	14.6	0	0	0	0.00	-0.91

Goalies

Goalie	Team	Unbl. shots	GA	xGA	GSAx
Carter Hart	VGK	48	2	3.15	+1.15
Dustin Wolf	CGY	42	6	4.22	-1.78

DtW replays every unblocked, non-empty-net shot by its xG (shootout excluded; a tie = coin flip), calibrated against real results — so it reads as "teams with these shots win X%". ixG = expected goals from a player's own shots. 5v5 xG± = 5v5 xG for minus against while he was on the ice. GSAx = expected goals against minus goals allowed.