Thu Oct 15 · 2026-27
UTA4FINAL
2EDM
UTA 57%DESERVE TO WIN43% EDM
TOSS-UP
A toss-up on the shots — UTA had a 57% chance and got it.
Expected goals flow
UTAEDM
cumulative xG · dots = goals
| UTA | EDM | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | 4 | 2 |
| xG (all) | 3.08 | 2.01 |
| xG (5v5) | 1.96 | 1.69 |
| Shot attempts | 56 | 58 |
| Shots on goal | 24 | 24 |
UTA skaters
| Player | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | 5v5 xG± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Logan Cooley | 16.0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0.83 | +0.31 |
| Clayton Keller | 16.9 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 0.44 | +0.25 |
| Nick Schmaltz | 19.2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0.04 | +0.14 |
| Lawson Crouse | 16.6 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0.64 | +0.18 |
| Kailer Yamamoto | 14.6 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0.58 | +0.00 |
| Dylan Guenther | 15.0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0.31 | +0.19 |
| Barrett Hayton | 15.0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.16 | -0.09 |
| John Marino | 21.1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.00 | +0.36 |
| Vincent Trocheck | 13.8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.00 | +0.51 |
| Jack McBain | 13.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.17 | -0.27 |
| Mikhail Sergachev | 24.7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.12 | -0.17 |
| Andrew Peeke | 14.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.03 | -0.19 |
| Nate Schmidt | 22.4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.03 | +0.57 |
| Daniil But | 10.8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | -0.10 |
| MacKenzie Weegar | 23.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.02 |
| Anders Lee | 14.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.03 |
| Kevin Stenlund | 14.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.30 |
| Dmitri Simashev | 12.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.02 |
EDM skaters
| Player | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | 5v5 xG± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leon Draisaitl | 23.0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0.46 | +0.74 |
| Connor McDavid | 25.9 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0.37 | +0.41 |
| Mathieu Joseph | 12.8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.17 | -0.60 |
| Evan Bouchard | 27.1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 0.13 | +0.51 |
| Shakir Mukhamadullin | 14.0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.01 | -0.56 |
| Owen Michaels | 12.0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.01 | -0.30 |
| Vasily Podkolzin | 22.2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.29 | +0.45 |
| Trent Frederic | 13.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.15 | -0.41 |
| Kasperi Kapanen | 16.2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.15 | -0.11 |
| Alex Formenton | 13.3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.09 | -0.18 |
| Max Jones | 11.3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.08 | -0.20 |
| Mattias Ekholm | 22.6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.04 | +0.41 |
| Ryan Shea | 22.3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.03 | -0.06 |
| Ty Emberson | 12.9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.02 | -0.49 |
| Isaac Howard | 10.4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.01 | -0.12 |
| Connor Murphy | 19.4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | -0.34 |
| Filip Hallander | 10.4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | -0.26 |
| Josh Samanski | 8.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.21 |
Goalies
| Goalie | Team | Unbl. shots | GA | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Karel Vejmelka | UTA | 39 | 2 | 2.01 | +0.01 |
| Devon Levi | EDM | 38 | 3 | 3.08 | +0.08 |
DtW replays every unblocked, non-empty-net shot by its xG (shootout excluded; a tie = coin
flip), calibrated against real results — so it reads as "teams with these shots win X%". ixG = expected goals from a player's own shots. 5v5 xG± = 5v5 xG for minus
against while he was on the ice. GSAx = expected goals against minus goals allowed.