Thu Oct 15 · 2026-27
STL4FINAL
5MIN
STL 41%DESERVE TO WIN59% MIN
TOSS-UP
A toss-up on the shots — MIN had a 59% chance and got it.
Expected goals flow
STLMIN
cumulative xG · dots = goals
| STL | MIN | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | 4 | 5 |
| xG (all) | 3.23 | 4.21 |
| xG (5v5) | 1.54 | 2.64 |
| Shot attempts | 51 | 72 |
| Shots on goal | 25 | 38 |
STL skaters
| Player | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | 5v5 xG± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cam Fowler | 20.2 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0.16 | -0.96 |
| Robert Thomas | 22.8 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0.78 | -0.27 |
| Mason McTavish | 14.6 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0.53 | -0.01 |
| Dylan Holloway | 23.2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0.37 | -0.33 |
| Jonatan Berggren | 15.9 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0.25 | -0.09 |
| Colton Parayko | 26.0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0.14 | +0.36 |
| Pius Suter | 15.2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.13 | +0.15 |
| Dalibor Dvorsky | 11.4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.12 | -0.27 |
| Jimmy Snuggerud | 20.5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.24 | -0.49 |
| Connor McMichael | 17.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.17 | -0.05 |
| Jake Neighbours | 13.7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.15 | -0.02 |
| Justin Barron | 16.2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.14 | -0.01 |
| Adam Jiricek | 15.7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.04 | -0.42 |
| Philip Broberg | 22.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.01 | -0.14 |
| Brandon Carlo | 16.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -1.06 |
| Dylan Peterson | 7.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.79 |
| Zach Dean | 6.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.62 |
| Ross Johnston | 6.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.53 |
MIN skaters
| Player | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | 5v5 xG± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matt Boldy | 24.9 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 1.15 | +0.56 |
| Kirill Kaprizov | 22.9 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 1.40 | +0.64 |
| Joel Eriksson Ek | 23.2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0.38 | +0.31 |
| Quinn Hughes | 25.3 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 0.12 | +0.54 |
| Danila Yurov | 15.4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0.15 | +0.31 |
| Yakov Trenin | 12.8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.08 | -0.06 |
| Max Shabanov | 14.7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.04 | -0.02 |
| Michael McCarron | 11.4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.00 | +0.12 |
| Blake Coleman | 17.6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.36 | +0.41 |
| Tyler Pitlick | 7.2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.34 | +0.19 |
| Bobby Brink | 14.8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.29 | +0.37 |
| Daemon Hunt | 16.4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.25 | +0.00 |
| Ryan Hartman | 13.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.07 | +0.37 |
| David Spacek | 19.5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.05 | +0.74 |
| Matt Kiersted | 12.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.05 | +0.72 |
| Jonas Brodin | 22.9 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.04 | +0.41 |
| Zach Bogosian | 15.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.21 |
| Rieger Lorenz | 7.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | +0.12 |
Goalies
| Goalie | Team | Unbl. shots | GA | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joel Hofer | STL | 54 | 5 | 4.21 | -0.79 |
| Jesper Wallstedt | MIN | 36 | 4 | 3.23 | -0.77 |
DtW replays every unblocked, non-empty-net shot by its xG (shootout excluded; a tie = coin
flip), calibrated against real results — so it reads as "teams with these shots win X%". ixG = expected goals from a player's own shots. 5v5 xG± = 5v5 xG for minus
against while he was on the ice. GSAx = expected goals against minus goals allowed.