Thu Oct 15 · 2026-27
WPG3FINAL OT
4CHI
WPG 46%DESERVE TO WIN54% CHI
TOSS-UP
A toss-up on the shots — CHI had a 54% chance and got it.
Expected goals flow
WPGCHI
cumulative xG · dots = goals
| WPG | CHI | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | 3 | 4 |
| xG (all) | 3.28 | 3.59 |
| xG (5v5) | 2.31 | 2.13 |
| Shot attempts | 66 | 47 |
| Shots on goal | 34 | 28 |
WPG skaters
| Player | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | 5v5 xG± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Neal Pionk | 25.5 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 0.55 | +0.34 |
| Kyle Connor | 21.1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0.50 | +0.24 |
| Alex Iafallo | 15.1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0.15 | -0.30 |
| Mark Scheifele | 21.5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.12 | +0.19 |
| Morgan Barron | 13.2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.06 | +0.02 |
| Brad Lambert | 7.6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.04 | +0.06 |
| Isak Rosen | 13.4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.02 | -0.50 |
| Nino Niederreiter | 12.0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 0.64 | +0.08 |
| Cole Perfetti | 18.9 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.47 | +0.34 |
| Gabriel Vilardi | 16.5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.35 | +0.30 |
| Cole Koepke | 11.0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.26 | +0.24 |
| Dylan DeMelo | 19.8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.05 | -0.29 |
| Viggo Björck | 12.2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.04 | +0.54 |
| Mario Ferraro | 21.1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.02 | -0.39 |
| Dylan Samberg | 24.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.01 | +0.35 |
| Jack St. Ivany | 13.3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.01 | +0.08 |
| Adam Lowry | 16.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.51 |
| Haydn Fleury | 14.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | +0.09 |
CHI skaters
| Player | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | 5v5 xG± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Bedard | 19.1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0.65 | -0.57 |
| Patrick Kane | 18.3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0.15 | -0.61 |
| Frank Nazar | 15.9 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0.51 | +0.75 |
| Tyler Bertuzzi | 16.5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.46 | -0.10 |
| Oliver Moore | 13.3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0.28 | +0.68 |
| Ryan Donato | 13.8 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0.15 | +0.68 |
| Artyom Levshunov | 21.6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.13 | +0.34 |
| Wyatt Kaiser | 21.7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.03 | +0.36 |
| Anton Frondell | 17.5 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.42 | +0.01 |
| Ethan Del Mastro | 13.4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.33 | -0.16 |
| Teuvo Teravainen | 17.9 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.20 | +0.05 |
| Cole Smith | 11.1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.11 | +0.18 |
| Roman Kantserov | 18.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.09 | -0.77 |
| Sam Rinzel | 19.7 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.09 | -0.40 |
| Alex Vlasic | 21.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.02 | -0.12 |
| Ian Cole | 15.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.37 |
| Ryan Greene | 13.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.64 |
| Jordan Greenway | 10.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.20 |
Goalies
| Goalie | Team | Unbl. shots | GA | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stuart Skinner | WPG | 39 | 4 | 3.59 | -0.41 |
| Spencer Knight | CHI | 49 | 3 | 3.28 | +0.28 |
DtW replays every unblocked, non-empty-net shot by its xG (shootout excluded; a tie = coin
flip), calibrated against real results — so it reads as "teams with these shots win X%". ixG = expected goals from a player's own shots. 5v5 xG± = 5v5 xG for minus
against while he was on the ice. GSAx = expected goals against minus goals allowed.