Thu Oct 15 · 2026-27
NYR1FINAL
7NJD
NYR 33%DESERVE TO WIN67% NJD
DESERVED
NJD earned it — a 67% chance to win on the shots.
Expected goals flow
NYRNJD
cumulative xG · dots = goals
| NYR | NJD | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1 | 7 |
| xG (all) | 1.84 | 3.60 |
| xG (5v5) | 0.97 | 2.88 |
| Shot attempts | 43 | 69 |
| Shots on goal | 19 | 31 |
NYR skaters
| Player | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | 5v5 xG± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pavel Dorofeyev | 19.0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0.61 | -0.76 |
| Alexis Lafrenière | 16.2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.10 | -0.61 |
| Adam Fox | 18.3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0.09 | -0.51 |
| Oliver Bjorkstrand | 12.1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.37 | -0.10 |
| Braden Schneider | 18.0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.18 | -0.96 |
| Alberts Smits | 17.0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.13 | -0.82 |
| Will Cuylle | 16.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.08 | -0.07 |
| Mika Zibanejad | 20.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.08 | -0.63 |
| Noah Laba | 16.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.05 | -0.53 |
| Jaroslav Chmelar | 8.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.05 | -0.54 |
| Gabe Perreault | 15.7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.04 | -0.21 |
| Sean Durzi | 23.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.04 | -0.54 |
| J.T. Miller | 17.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.79 |
| Tye Kartye | 15.3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | -1.05 |
| Marcus Pettersson | 19.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.38 |
| Vladislav Gavrikov | 19.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.62 |
| Eeli Tolvanen | 12.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.19 |
| Justin Dowling | 7.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.29 |
NJD skaters
| Player | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | 5v5 xG± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Evan Rodrigues | 17.4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0.39 | +0.98 |
| Dawson Mercer | 15.9 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0.39 | +0.24 |
| Luke Hughes | 25.0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 0.25 | +0.58 |
| Timo Meier | 14.5 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0.20 | +0.31 |
| Amadeus Lombardi | 12.5 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0.18 | +0.72 |
| Brett Pesce | 21.5 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0.11 | +0.39 |
| Dougie Hamilton | 19.6 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0.07 | +1.03 |
| Stefan Noesen | 10.8 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0.48 | +0.88 |
| Jack Hughes | 17.6 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0.41 | +0.44 |
| Arseny Gritsyuk | 16.9 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0.32 | +0.37 |
| Nico Hischier | 14.2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.32 | +0.41 |
| Cody Glass | 14.8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.18 | +0.09 |
| Jesper Bratt | 15.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.10 | +0.37 |
| Jesper Boqvist | 13.8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.10 | +0.44 |
| Anthony Mantha | 13.6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.09 | +0.52 |
| Johnathan Kovacevic | 16.0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.03 | +0.38 |
| Jonas Siegenthaler | 17.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | +0.59 |
| Declan Chisholm | 16.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | +0.85 |
Goalies
| Goalie | Team | Unbl. shots | GA | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spencer Martin | NYR | 28 | 3 | 2.35 | -0.65 |
| Nico Daws | NJD | 28 | 1 | 1.84 | +0.84 |
| Dylan Garand | NYR | 17 | 4 | 1.26 | -2.74 |
DtW replays every unblocked, non-empty-net shot by its xG (shootout excluded; a tie = coin
flip), calibrated against real results — so it reads as "teams with these shots win X%". ixG = expected goals from a player's own shots. 5v5 xG± = 5v5 xG for minus
against while he was on the ice. GSAx = expected goals against minus goals allowed.