ON-ICE IQ · VAN 2 @ FLA 3

ON-ICE IQ ← ALL GAMES

Thu Oct 15 · 2026-27

VAN2

FINAL OT

3FLA

VAN 37%DESERVE TO WIN63% FLA

DESERVED FLA earned it — a 63% chance to win on the shots.

Expected goals flow

VANFLA cumulative xG · dots = goals

	VAN	FLA
Goals	2	3
xG (all)	2.81	4.28
xG (5v5)	1.74	2.86
Shot attempts	41	72
Shots on goal	17	39

VAN skaters

Player	TOI	G	A	SOG	ixG	5v5 xG±
Brock Boeser	22.3	0	1	0	0.56	-0.89
Elias Pettersson	22.6	1	0	2	0.21	-0.70
Liam Ohgren	14.2	1	0	1	0.13	+0.29
Linus Karlsson	10.6	0	1	0	0.13	-0.00
Filip Chytil	18.5	0	1	0	0.04	-0.90
Jake DeBrusk	16.9	0	0	2	0.46	-0.82
Max Sasson	11.7	0	0	2	0.38	+0.60
Brendan Gallagher	8.6	0	0	1	0.33	+0.22
Jonathan Lekkerimäki	17.7	0	0	2	0.31	-0.76
Elias Pettersson	21.6	0	0	0	0.12	-0.28
Victor Mancini	13.5	0	0	0	0.09	-1.00
Zeev Buium	19.4	0	0	1	0.08	-1.13
Marco Rossi	13.6	0	0	1	0.06	-0.24
Filip Hronek	28.6	0	0	1	0.05	-0.75
Jamie Oleksiak	15.4	0	0	2	0.04	+0.71
Drew O'Connor	13.1	0	0	0	0.04	+0.28
Tom Willander	17.2	0	0	1	0.03	+0.64
Paul Cotter	15.7	0	0	1	0.03	-0.88

FLA skaters

Player	TOI	G	A	SOG	ixG	5v5 xG±
Brady Tkachuk	20.0	3	0	6	0.75	+0.64
Seth Jones	26.3	0	2	5	0.26	+0.55
Sam Reinhart	22.3	0	1	5	0.50	+0.70
Matthew Tkachuk	22.0	0	1	1	0.28	+0.80
Aaron Ekblad	22.4	0	1	3	0.25	+1.32
Carter Verhaeghe	19.9	0	1	1	0.18	+0.82
Sam Bennett	19.9	0	0	6	1.17	+0.50
Anton Lundell	16.2	0	0	4	0.28	-0.13
Lars Eller	17.2	0	0	2	0.27	+0.68
Eetu Luostarinen	13.9	0	0	0	0.18	+0.15
Dmitry Kulikov	12.4	0	0	2	0.09	-0.61
Gustav Forsling	23.2	0	0	2	0.05	+1.08
Niko Mikkola	20.9	0	0	1	0.03	+0.27
Sandis Vilmanis	12.8	0	0	1	0.00	+0.15
Uvis Balinskis	11.1	0	0	0	0.00	-0.36
Garnet Hathaway	9.8	0	0	0	0.00	-0.22
Sam Lafferty	5.6	0	0	0	0.00	-0.23
Bokondji Imama	5.5	0	0	0	0.00	-0.50

Goalies

Goalie	Team	Unbl. shots	GA	xGA	GSAx
Akira Schmid	FLA	33	2	2.81	+0.81
Leevi Meriläinen	VAN	52	3	4.28	+1.28

DtW replays every unblocked, non-empty-net shot by its xG (shootout excluded; a tie = coin flip), calibrated against real results — so it reads as "teams with these shots win X%". ixG = expected goals from a player's own shots. 5v5 xG± = 5v5 xG for minus against while he was on the ice. GSAx = expected goals against minus goals allowed.