Thu Oct 15 · 2026-27
PHI1FINAL
2DET
PHI 34%DESERVE TO WIN66% DET
DESERVED
DET earned it — a 66% chance to win on the shots.
Expected goals flow
PHIDET
cumulative xG · dots = goals
| PHI | DET | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1 | 2 |
| xG (all) | 2.08 | 3.73 |
| xG (5v5) | 1.14 | 2.42 |
| Shot attempts | 52 | 66 |
| Shots on goal | 18 | 26 |
PHI skaters
| Player | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | 5v5 xG± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matvei Michkov | 13.7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.51 | +0.21 |
| Tyson Foerster | 17.3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.35 | -0.00 |
| Oliver Bonk | 20.0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.25 | -0.27 |
| Michael Bunting | 10.1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.25 | -0.66 |
| Noah Cates | 13.4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.23 | +0.38 |
| Porter Martone | 12.5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.10 | -0.15 |
| Travis Sanheim | 24.5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.10 | +0.16 |
| Trevor Zegras | 18.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.08 | -0.47 |
| Denver Barkey | 15.5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.05 | -0.03 |
| David Jiricek | 15.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.05 | -0.18 |
| Jamie Drysdale | 22.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.04 | -0.86 |
| Noel Acciari | 13.7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.04 | -1.02 |
| Nick Seeler | 21.3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.02 | -0.85 |
| Owen Tippett | 15.6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.01 | -0.57 |
| Christian Dvorak | 18.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | +0.09 |
| Sean Couturier | 16.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.70 |
| Simon Benoit | 14.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.54 |
| Jack Studnicka | 8.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.83 |
DET skaters
| Player | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | 5v5 xG± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Copp | 17.8 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0.62 | +0.34 |
| Dylan Larkin | 23.2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0.18 | +0.42 |
| Anton Johansson | 10.6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.13 | +0.28 |
| Nate Danielson | 13.9 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.07 | +0.45 |
| Michael Rasmussen | 15.7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.06 | +0.59 |
| Justin Faulk | 18.3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0.05 | +0.26 |
| Viktor Arvidsson | 20.0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.71 | +0.24 |
| Alex DeBrincat | 20.9 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.44 | -0.17 |
| Lucas Raymond | 21.8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.39 | +1.02 |
| Michael Brandsegg-Nygård | 15.1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.32 | +0.40 |
| Sheldon Dries | 6.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.27 | +0.30 |
| Moritz Seider | 25.8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.23 | +0.64 |
| Emmitt Finnie | 16.3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.08 | +0.06 |
| Albert Johansson | 15.1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.07 | +0.18 |
| Keegan Kolesar | 8.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.07 | +0.15 |
| William Wallinder | 16.9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.04 | +0.20 |
| Ben Chiarot | 20.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | +0.93 |
| Axel Sandin-Pellikka | 7.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | +0.10 |
Goalies
| Goalie | Team | Unbl. shots | GA | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joseph Woll | PHI | 47 | 2 | 3.73 | +1.73 |
| Daniil Tarasov | DET | 27 | 1 | 2.08 | +1.08 |
DtW replays every unblocked, non-empty-net shot by its xG (shootout excluded; a tie = coin
flip), calibrated against real results — so it reads as "teams with these shots win X%". ixG = expected goals from a player's own shots. 5v5 xG± = 5v5 xG for minus
against while he was on the ice. GSAx = expected goals against minus goals allowed.