Thu Oct 15 · 2026-27
NYI1FINAL SO
2OTT
NYI 38%DESERVE TO WIN62% OTT
DESERVED
OTT earned it — a 62% chance to win on the shots.
Expected goals flow
NYIOTT
cumulative xG · dots = goals
| NYI | OTT | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1 | 2 |
| xG (all) | 1.93 | 3.13 |
| xG (5v5) | 1.53 | 1.20 |
| Shot attempts | 53 | 49 |
| Shots on goal | 21 | 19 |
NYI skaters
| Player | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | 5v5 xG± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matias Maccelli | 18.4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0.10 | -0.37 |
| Bo Horvat | 23.4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.40 | -0.37 |
| Ondrej Palat | 13.6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.33 | +0.70 |
| Matthew Schaefer | 29.5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.33 | +0.13 |
| Jean-Gabriel Pageau | 15.6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.19 | +0.74 |
| Simon Holmstrom | 17.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.13 | +0.28 |
| Anthony Duclair | 9.6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.12 | +0.48 |
| Brayden Schenn | 16.4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.11 | -0.22 |
| Logan Stanley | 26.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.08 | +0.17 |
| Victor Eklund | 13.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.08 | -0.00 |
| Emil Heineman | 18.5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.03 | +0.25 |
| Tony DeAngelo | 15.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.01 | -0.09 |
| Casey Cizikas | 11.8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.01 | +0.36 |
| Adam Pelech | 22.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.01 | +0.27 |
| Calum Ritchie | 10.6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | -0.25 |
| Matthew Kessel | 10.5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | -0.01 |
| Ryan Pulock | 20.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | +0.25 |
| Kyle Palmieri | 17.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.67 |
OTT skaters
| Player | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | 5v5 xG± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ridly Greig | 17.5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0.41 | +0.55 |
| Warren Foegele | 13.7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.08 | +0.36 |
| Artem Zub | 18.5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.00 | -0.25 |
| Shane Pinto | 17.1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.57 | -0.38 |
| Drake Batherson | 20.0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.53 | -0.57 |
| Stephen Halliday | 16.9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.51 | -0.57 |
| Tim Stützle | 23.8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.26 | -0.54 |
| Claude Giroux | 16.4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.24 | -0.03 |
| Dylan Cozens | 17.9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.20 | +0.03 |
| Fabian Zetterlund | 13.7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.10 | +0.44 |
| Nick Cousins | 10.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.09 | -0.17 |
| Andre Burakovsky | 13.2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.08 | +0.08 |
| Jordan Spence | 23.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.03 | +0.25 |
| Thomas Chabot | 24.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.01 | -0.64 |
| Tyler Kleven | 21.3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.01 | +0.27 |
| Carter Yakemchuk | 18.9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.01 | -0.33 |
| Michael Amadio | 14.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.17 |
| Cameron Crotty | 11.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | +0.04 |
Goalies
| Goalie | Team | Unbl. shots | GA | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Semyon Varlamov | NYI | 33 | 1 | 3.13 | +2.13 |
| Linus Ullmark | OTT | 37 | 1 | 1.93 | +0.93 |
DtW replays every unblocked, non-empty-net shot by its xG (shootout excluded; a tie = coin
flip), calibrated against real results — so it reads as "teams with these shots win X%". ixG = expected goals from a player's own shots. 5v5 xG± = 5v5 xG for minus
against while he was on the ice. GSAx = expected goals against minus goals allowed.