Wed Oct 14 · 2026-27
DAL3FINAL SO
2COL
DAL 42%DESERVE TO WIN58% COL
TOSS-UP
A toss-up on the shots — DAL had a 42% chance and got it.
Expected goals flow
DALCOL
cumulative xG · dots = goals
| DAL | COL | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | 3 | 2 |
| xG (all) | 2.00 | 2.69 |
| xG (5v5) | 1.09 | 2.19 |
| Shot attempts | 49 | 63 |
| Shots on goal | 22 | 27 |
DAL skaters
| Player | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | 5v5 xG± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arttu Hyry | 14.7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0.53 | -0.22 |
| Thomas Harley | 23.1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0.36 | -0.36 |
| Miro Heiskanen | 30.1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0.14 | -0.06 |
| Mikko Rantanen | 23.1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.14 | -0.43 |
| Jason Robertson | 22.4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.29 | +0.08 |
| Tyler Seguin | 15.0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.18 | -0.68 |
| Roope Hintz | 18.1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.11 | -0.36 |
| Justin Hryckowian | 19.6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.08 | -0.14 |
| Jamie Benn | 13.0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.07 | -0.59 |
| Colin Blackwell | 11.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.05 | -0.09 |
| Lian Bichsel | 13.3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.04 | -0.48 |
| Radek Faksa | 12.7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.01 | +0.02 |
| Esa Lindell | 24.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.04 |
| Sam Steel | 18.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.65 |
| Nils Lundkvist | 17.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.75 |
| Tyler Myers | 13.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.58 |
| Joel Kiviranta | 13.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.08 |
| Oskar Bäck | 3.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.09 |
COL skaters
| Player | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | 5v5 xG± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nazem Kadri | 24.3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0.19 | +0.73 |
| Gabriel Landeskog | 15.8 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0.37 | +0.12 |
| Brock Nelson | 23.0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0.29 | +0.54 |
| Sam Malinski | 16.2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0.25 | +0.70 |
| Artturi Lehkonen | 21.9 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.11 | +0.16 |
| Fedor Svechkov | 15.8 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.56 | +0.46 |
| Nathan MacKinnon | 25.4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.28 | +0.10 |
| Gavin Brindley | 6.8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.17 | +0.47 |
| Parker Kelly | 10.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.13 | +0.25 |
| Cale Makar | 22.9 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.12 | +0.62 |
| Jaden Schwartz | 13.8 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.11 | +0.43 |
| Brent Burns | 14.4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.06 | +0.08 |
| Noah Juulsen | 8.3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.03 | +0.28 |
| Josh Manson | 12.5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | -0.11 |
| Devon Toews | 22.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | +0.40 |
| Martin Necas | 22.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.19 |
| Brett Kulak | 19.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | +0.15 |
| T.J. Hughes | 14.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | +0.30 |
Goalies
| Goalie | Team | Unbl. shots | GA | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scott Wedgewood | COL | 32 | 2 | 2.00 | -0.00 |
| Casey DeSmith | DAL | 41 | 2 | 2.69 | +0.69 |
DtW replays every unblocked, non-empty-net shot by its xG (shootout excluded; a tie = coin
flip), calibrated against real results — so it reads as "teams with these shots win X%". ixG = expected goals from a player's own shots. 5v5 xG± = 5v5 xG for minus
against while he was on the ice. GSAx = expected goals against minus goals allowed.