Wed Oct 14 · 2026-27
MTL4FINAL
5WSH
MTL 50%DESERVE TO WIN50% WSH
TOSS-UP
A toss-up on the shots — WSH had a 50% chance and got it.
Expected goals flow
MTLWSH
cumulative xG · dots = goals
| MTL | WSH | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | 4 | 5 |
| xG (all) | 3.43 | 3.19 |
| xG (5v5) | 2.29 | 1.96 |
| Shot attempts | 68 | 52 |
| Shots on goal | 30 | 23 |
MTL skaters
| Player | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | 5v5 xG± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Anderson | 13.8 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0.63 | +0.10 |
| Alex Newhook | 15.9 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0.38 | +0.09 |
| Lane Hutson | 24.2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0.20 | +1.07 |
| Nick Suzuki | 20.2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0.43 | -0.24 |
| Zachary Bolduc | 12.6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.13 | +0.46 |
| Noah Dobson | 22.4 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0.05 | +0.55 |
| Juraj Slafkovský | 19.7 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.51 | -0.26 |
| Phillip Danault | 17.6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.27 | +0.44 |
| Alexandre Texier | 12.4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.22 | +0.43 |
| Chris Kreider | 15.5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.19 | +0.15 |
| Cole Caufield | 19.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.18 | -0.32 |
| Kirby Dach | 9.1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.13 | +0.05 |
| Kaiden Guhle | 22.4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.07 | -0.70 |
| Owen Beck | 7.8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.02 | +0.06 |
| Arber Xhekaj | 14.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.01 | -0.00 |
| Alexandre Carrier | 20.7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | -0.72 |
| Jake Evans | 12.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | +0.03 |
| Adam Engstrom | 11.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | +0.47 |
WSH skaters
| Player | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | 5v5 xG± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Tuch | 18.8 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1.00 | +0.64 |
| Jordan Kyrou | 15.2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0.28 | +0.48 |
| Ilya Protas | 12.4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0.13 | -0.07 |
| Cole Hutson | 17.1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0.35 | -0.30 |
| Ivan Miroshnichenko | 10.0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.22 | -0.15 |
| Justin Holl | 13.1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.01 | -0.21 |
| Alex Ovechkin | 13.2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.23 |
| Tom Wilson | 17.2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0.88 | +0.24 |
| Anthony Beauvillier | 12.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.32 | -0.90 |
| Ryan Leonard | 14.9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.25 | -1.08 |
| Dylan Strome | 18.9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.15 | +0.30 |
| Justin Sourdif | 16.1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.08 | +0.26 |
| Aliaksei Protas | 17.6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.03 | +0.30 |
| Jakob Chychrun | 23.1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.03 | -0.24 |
| Martin Fehérváry | 21.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | +0.18 |
| Vincent Desharnais | 21.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.02 |
| Timothy Liljegren | 16.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.09 |
| Boone Jenner | 15.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.80 |
Goalies
| Goalie | Team | Unbl. shots | GA | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlie Lindgren | WSH | 50 | 4 | 3.43 | -0.57 |
| Jakub Dobes | MTL | 38 | 5 | 3.19 | -1.81 |
DtW replays every unblocked, non-empty-net shot by its xG (shootout excluded; a tie = coin
flip), calibrated against real results — so it reads as "teams with these shots win X%". ixG = expected goals from a player's own shots. 5v5 xG± = 5v5 xG for minus
against while he was on the ice. GSAx = expected goals against minus goals allowed.