Tue Oct 13 · 2026-27
BOS6FINAL
3SJS
BOS 50%DESERVE TO WIN50% SJS
TOSS-UP
A toss-up on the shots — BOS had a 50% chance and got it.
Expected goals flow
BOSSJS
cumulative xG · dots = goals
| BOS | SJS | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | 6 | 3 |
| xG (all) | 3.42 | 3.13 |
| xG (5v5) | 2.06 | 2.27 |
| Shot attempts | 50 | 65 |
| Shots on goal | 26 | 38 |
BOS skaters
| Player | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | 5v5 xG± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fraser Minten | 18.7 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 0.83 | -0.56 |
| Morgan Geekie | 17.8 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0.00 | +0.05 |
| Charlie McAvoy | 24.7 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0.45 | +0.32 |
| David Pastrnak | 18.5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0.40 | -0.16 |
| Matthew Poitras | 10.9 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0.28 | +0.43 |
| Will Borgen | 21.8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.28 | -0.41 |
| Pavel Zacha | 17.5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.25 | -0.18 |
| Marat Khusnutdinov | 14.3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.23 | -0.19 |
| Mark Kastelic | 12.4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.18 | -0.02 |
| Casey Mittelstadt | 12.8 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0.13 | +0.16 |
| JJ Peterka | 16.3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.07 | -0.04 |
| Mason Lohrei | 13.3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.01 | +0.12 |
| Nikita Zadorov | 18.2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.00 | -0.42 |
| Hampus Lindholm | 22.6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.46 | +0.15 |
| Elias Lindholm | 15.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.21 | +0.10 |
| James Hagens | 11.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.18 | +0.16 |
| Frederic Brunet | 15.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.18 |
| Tanner Jeannot | 12.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.37 |
SJS skaters
| Player | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | 5v5 xG± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ivar Stenberg | 16.8 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0.40 | -0.42 |
| Macklin Celebrini | 19.9 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 0.38 | +0.35 |
| Dmitry Orlov | 19.5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0.06 | -0.02 |
| Will Smith | 20.8 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0.22 | -0.08 |
| Jacob Trouba | 21.2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0.02 | +0.16 |
| Kiefer Sherwood | 13.9 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.01 | -0.46 |
| Alexander Wennberg | 20.0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.64 | +0.53 |
| Tyler Toffoli | 12.7 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0.33 | +0.50 |
| Barclay Goodrow | 11.7 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.31 | +0.07 |
| Igor Chernyshov | 15.9 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.26 | +0.29 |
| Darnell Nurse | 17.6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.20 | +0.18 |
| Michael Misa | 12.5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.13 | -0.53 |
| Collin Graf | 13.3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.07 | +0.04 |
| Mason Marchment | 16.6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.06 | +0.47 |
| Luca Cagnoni | 15.7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.03 | -0.22 |
| Zack Ostapchuk | 10.8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.02 | -0.13 |
| Sam Dickinson | 19.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | +0.19 |
| Michael Kesselring | 19.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | +0.14 |
Goalies
| Goalie | Team | Unbl. shots | GA | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeremy Swayman | BOS | 44 | 3 | 3.13 | +0.13 |
| Yaroslav Askarov | SJS | 37 | 5 | 3.42 | -1.58 |
DtW replays every unblocked, non-empty-net shot by its xG (shootout excluded; a tie = coin
flip), calibrated against real results — so it reads as "teams with these shots win X%". ixG = expected goals from a player's own shots. 5v5 xG± = 5v5 xG for minus
against while he was on the ice. GSAx = expected goals against minus goals allowed.