Tue Oct 13 · 2026-27
EDM4FINAL
1LAK
EDM 33%DESERVE TO WIN67% LAK
STOLE IT
EDM stole it — only a 33% chance to win on the shots.
Expected goals flow
EDMLAK
cumulative xG · dots = goals
| EDM | LAK | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | 4 | 1 |
| xG (all) | 1.52 | 3.23 |
| xG (5v5) | 0.60 | 1.98 |
| Shot attempts | 37 | 80 |
| Shots on goal | 17 | 40 |
EDM skaters
| Player | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | 5v5 xG± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor McDavid | 21.6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0.15 | -0.27 |
| Vasily Podkolzin | 18.4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0.69 | -0.22 |
| Leon Draisaitl | 20.2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0.32 | -0.22 |
| Evan Bouchard | 26.4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0.16 | -0.41 |
| Jason Dickinson | 13.3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.02 | -0.25 |
| Ty Emberson | 12.1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.46 |
| Mathieu Joseph | 16.9 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.21 | -0.54 |
| Alex Formenton | 17.2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.10 | -0.33 |
| Trent Frederic | 7.5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.04 | -0.23 |
| Ryan Shea | 22.6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.04 | -0.56 |
| Mattias Ekholm | 21.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.04 | -0.09 |
| Filip Hallander | 10.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.01 | -0.49 |
| Isaac Howard | 7.8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.01 | -0.26 |
| Connor Murphy | 24.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.70 |
| Kasperi Kapanen | 17.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.41 |
| Owen Michaels | 16.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.82 |
| Shakir Mukhamadullin | 11.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.53 |
| Josh Samanski | 6.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.09 |
LAK skaters
| Player | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | 5v5 xG± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trevor Moore | 17.1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0.19 | -0.09 |
| Brandt Clarke | 21.2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 0.14 | +1.07 |
| Scott Laughton | 14.3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.01 | -0.13 |
| Quinton Byfield | 21.6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.86 | +1.03 |
| Erik Haula | 16.2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.54 | +0.21 |
| Adrian Kempe | 23.1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.31 | +1.14 |
| Drew Doughty | 18.5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.20 | +0.20 |
| Andre Lee | 7.8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.19 | +0.20 |
| Alex Laferriere | 17.7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.18 | +0.14 |
| Corey Perry | 13.8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.14 | +0.25 |
| Joel Armia | 15.8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.13 | +0.07 |
| Erik Gustafsson | 21.6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.10 | +0.91 |
| Samuel Helenius | 8.8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.08 | +0.27 |
| Mikey Anderson | 13.4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.07 | +0.44 |
| Cody Ceci | 13.3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.04 | +0.31 |
| Joel Edmundson | 14.3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.04 | -0.02 |
| Artemi Panarin | 24.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | +1.05 |
| Brian Dumoulin | 13.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.15 |
Goalies
| Goalie | Team | Unbl. shots | GA | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Darcy Kuemper | LAK | 8 | 3 | 0.68 | -2.32 |
| Anton Forsberg | LAK | 17 | 0 | 0.83 | +0.83 |
| Devon Levi | EDM | 59 | 1 | 3.23 | +2.23 |
DtW replays every unblocked, non-empty-net shot by its xG (shootout excluded; a tie = coin
flip), calibrated against real results — so it reads as "teams with these shots win X%". ixG = expected goals from a player's own shots. 5v5 xG± = 5v5 xG for minus
against while he was on the ice. GSAx = expected goals against minus goals allowed.