ON-ICE IQ · CGY 4 @ ANA 2

ON-ICE IQ ← ALL GAMES

Tue Oct 13 · 2026-27

CGY4

FINAL

2ANA

CGY 49%DESERVE TO WIN51% ANA

TOSS-UP A toss-up on the shots — CGY had a 49% chance and got it.

Expected goals flow

CGYANA cumulative xG · dots = goals

	CGY	ANA
Goals	4	2
xG (all)	3.55	3.44
xG (5v5)	2.58	2.18
Shot attempts	73	65
Shots on goal	36	25

CGY skaters

Player	TOI	G	A	SOG	ixG	5v5 xG±
Aydar Suniev	13.3	1	1	1	0.33	+0.35
Ryan Strome	13.6	0	1	7	0.50	+0.87
Mikael Backlund	21.2	0	1	3	0.45	-0.01
Yegor Sharangovich	17.3	1	0	1	0.45	+0.03
Martin Pospisil	13.4	1	0	4	0.31	+0.70
Adam Klapka	8.5	1	0	2	0.27	-0.42
Joel Farabee	20.4	0	1	2	0.25	-0.19
Simon Nemec	19.9	0	1	1	0.04	+0.39
Yan Kuznetsov	18.8	0	1	1	0.03	+0.49
Maxim Tsyplakov	9.6	0	1	0	0.00	-0.16
Matt Coronato	17.1	0	0	5	0.62	-0.01
Morgan Frost	13.7	0	0	2	0.39	-0.14
Jake Middleton	18.2	0	0	2	0.17	-0.21
Jonathan Castagna	10.9	0	0	2	0.13	-0.45
Matvei Gridin	14.3	0	0	2	0.09	+0.80
Zach Whitecloud	24.3	0	0	1	0.05	+0.48
Zayne Parekh	13.5	0	0	0	0.02	-0.34
Kevin Bahl	23.1	0	0	0	0.00	-0.19

ANA skaters

Player	TOI	G	A	SOG	ixG	5v5 xG±
Beckett Sennecke	22.9	1	0	4	0.88	-0.38
Judd Caulfield	17.0	0	1	2	0.39	+0.03
Leo Carlsson	22.3	1	0	2	0.33	-0.27
Mikael Granlund	20.9	0	1	2	0.22	+0.40
Sam Colangelo	13.6	0	0	2	0.51	+0.02
Alex Killorn	16.3	0	0	3	0.32	-0.64
Drew Helleson	17.1	0	0	1	0.13	+0.01
Roger McQueen	11.4	0	0	1	0.11	-0.26
Jeff Malott	10.2	0	0	0	0.10	+0.11
Frank Vatrano	10.8	0	0	1	0.10	+0.06
Tyson Hinds	13.7	0	0	1	0.09	-0.05
Jackson LaCombe	27.8	0	0	0	0.07	-0.43
Nikita Nesterenko	13.0	0	0	2	0.06	+0.24
Tristan Luneau	18.1	0	0	2	0.05	+0.10
Tim Washe	13.4	0	0	0	0.04	-0.37
A.J. Greer	10.9	0	0	1	0.02	-0.01
Noah Warren	18.5	0	0	1	0.02	-0.51
Pavel Mintyukov	17.1	0	0	0	0.00	-0.04

Goalies

Goalie	Team	Unbl. shots	GA	xGA	GSAx
Lukas Dostal	ANA	51	3	3.55	+0.55
Dustin Wolf	CGY	50	2	3.44	+1.44

DtW replays every unblocked, non-empty-net shot by its xG (shootout excluded; a tie = coin flip), calibrated against real results — so it reads as "teams with these shots win X%". ixG = expected goals from a player's own shots. 5v5 xG± = 5v5 xG for minus against while he was on the ice. GSAx = expected goals against minus goals allowed.