Tue Oct 13 · 2026-27
MIN2FINAL
5WPG
MIN 46%DESERVE TO WIN54% WPG
TOSS-UP
A toss-up on the shots — WPG had a 54% chance and got it.
Expected goals flow
MINWPG
cumulative xG · dots = goals
| MIN | WPG | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2 | 5 |
| xG (all) | 2.67 | 2.89 |
| xG (5v5) | 2.01 | 2.25 |
| Shot attempts | 58 | 58 |
| Shots on goal | 21 | 25 |
MIN skaters
| Player | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | 5v5 xG± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kirill Kaprizov | 20.0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0.40 | +0.30 |
| Jonas Brodin | 21.6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.02 | +0.44 |
| Quinn Hughes | 28.4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.00 | +0.41 |
| Joel Eriksson Ek | 18.3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.48 | +0.26 |
| Danila Yurov | 14.5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.33 | -0.11 |
| Yakov Trenin | 12.5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.30 | -0.08 |
| Ryan Hartman | 14.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.24 | -0.27 |
| Bobby Brink | 14.9 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.22 | -0.02 |
| Rieger Lorenz | 11.1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.19 | -0.24 |
| Matt Boldy | 22.3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.18 | +0.24 |
| Max Shabanov | 15.1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.10 | -0.19 |
| Tyler Pitlick | 8.2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.08 | -0.22 |
| Blake Coleman | 14.6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.06 | -0.24 |
| Zach Bogosian | 19.8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.05 | -0.38 |
| David Spacek | 15.8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.01 | -0.24 |
| Olli Maatta | 17.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.01 | -0.26 |
| Michael McCarron | 15.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.11 |
| Daemon Hunt | 12.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.43 |
WPG skaters
| Player | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | 5v5 xG± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mark Scheifele | 16.3 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0.49 | +0.46 |
| Kyle Connor | 17.4 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0.50 | +0.28 |
| Cole Perfetti | 16.2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 0.49 | +0.31 |
| Neal Pionk | 23.8 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0.14 | +0.19 |
| Cole Koepke | 11.7 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0.20 | +0.12 |
| Gabriel Vilardi | 18.9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.49 |
| Vladislav Namestnikov | 13.5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.00 | +0.19 |
| Morgan Barron | 14.0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.27 | -0.15 |
| Viggo Björck | 14.3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.27 | -0.40 |
| Isak Rosen | 13.1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.21 | +0.28 |
| Adam Lowry | 15.1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.13 | +0.27 |
| Haydn Fleury | 14.3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.11 | +0.25 |
| Tyrel Bauer | 11.1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.04 | +0.07 |
| Dylan DeMelo | 22.6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.03 | +0.05 |
| Mario Ferraro | 21.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.02 | -0.04 |
| Dylan Samberg | 24.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.06 |
| Alex Iafallo | 15.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | +0.25 |
| Nino Niederreiter | 12.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.42 |
Goalies
| Goalie | Team | Unbl. shots | GA | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Calvin Pickard | MIN | 39 | 5 | 2.89 | -2.11 |
| Stuart Skinner | WPG | 39 | 2 | 2.67 | +0.67 |
DtW replays every unblocked, non-empty-net shot by its xG (shootout excluded; a tie = coin
flip), calibrated against real results — so it reads as "teams with these shots win X%". ixG = expected goals from a player's own shots. 5v5 xG± = 5v5 xG for minus
against while he was on the ice. GSAx = expected goals against minus goals allowed.