Tue Oct 13 · 2026-27
PIT3FINAL
5CHI
PIT 63%DESERVE TO WIN37% CHI
STOLE IT
CHI stole it — only a 37% chance to win on the shots.
Expected goals flow
PITCHI
cumulative xG · dots = goals
| PIT | CHI | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | 3 | 5 |
| xG (all) | 3.57 | 1.85 |
| xG (5v5) | 2.50 | 1.48 |
| Shot attempts | 62 | 34 |
| Shots on goal | 27 | 20 |
PIT skaters
| Player | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | 5v5 xG± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sidney Crosby | 19.3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0.64 | +0.67 |
| Erik Karlsson | 20.4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0.30 | +0.34 |
| Nick Robertson | 11.4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0.31 | +0.27 |
| Connor Dewar | 12.6 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0.06 | +0.33 |
| Blake Lizotte | 13.8 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0.05 | -0.06 |
| Samuel Girard | 18.4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.01 | +0.70 |
| Rickard Rakell | 19.8 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.70 | +0.28 |
| Bryan Rust | 16.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.26 | +0.28 |
| Ben Kindel | 17.1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.26 | +0.18 |
| Egor Chinakhov | 16.3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.24 | +0.31 |
| Evgeni Malkin | 20.4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.24 | +0.37 |
| Andrei Kuzmenko | 11.9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.23 | +0.10 |
| Ville Koivunen | 11.2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.16 | +0.10 |
| Kaedan Korczak | 19.2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.07 | +0.60 |
| Kris Letang | 19.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.03 | +0.08 |
| Declan Carlile | 19.3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.02 | +0.39 |
| Tommy Novak | 16.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | +0.23 |
| Spencer Stastney | 15.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.07 |
CHI skaters
| Player | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | 5v5 xG± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Teuvo Teravainen | 16.7 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0.32 | -0.42 |
| Roman Kantserov | 18.9 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 0.76 | -0.02 |
| Tyler Bertuzzi | 16.1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0.34 | -0.41 |
| Anton Frondell | 17.4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0.01 | -0.82 |
| Connor Bedard | 21.1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0.37 | +0.32 |
| Patrick Kane | 20.1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.09 | -0.05 |
| Artyom Levshunov | 21.6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.04 | -0.04 |
| Bowen Byram | 24.6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.04 |
| Cole Smith | 12.6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.30 |
| Ryan Greene | 10.7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.23 |
| Alex Vlasic | 21.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.28 | -0.68 |
| Ryan Donato | 8.7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.19 | -0.30 |
| Ian Cole | 18.9 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.02 | -0.29 |
| Wyatt Kaiser | 16.4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | -0.29 |
| Sam Rinzel | 14.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.69 |
| Jordan Greenway | 13.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.24 |
| Oliver Moore | 9.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.29 |
| Dominic Toninato | 8.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.29 |
Goalies
| Goalie | Team | Unbl. shots | GA | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spencer Knight | CHI | 45 | 3 | 3.57 | +0.57 |
| Sergei Murashov | PIT | 24 | 4 | 1.85 | -2.15 |
DtW replays every unblocked, non-empty-net shot by its xG (shootout excluded; a tie = coin
flip), calibrated against real results — so it reads as "teams with these shots win X%". ixG = expected goals from a player's own shots. 5v5 xG± = 5v5 xG for minus
against while he was on the ice. GSAx = expected goals against minus goals allowed.