ON-ICE IQ · VAN 2 @ NYI 3

ON-ICE IQ ← ALL GAMES

Tue Oct 13 · 2026-27

VAN2

FINAL

3NYI

VAN 45%DESERVE TO WIN55% NYI

TOSS-UP A toss-up on the shots — NYI had a 55% chance and got it.

Expected goals flow

VANNYI cumulative xG · dots = goals

	VAN	NYI
Goals	2	3
xG (all)	2.91	3.38
xG (5v5)	2.07	2.28
Shot attempts	54	59
Shots on goal	26	38

VAN skaters

Player	TOI	G	A	SOG	ixG	5v5 xG±
Elias Pettersson	21.1	0	1	2	0.37	+0.33
Brock Boeser	17.8	1	0	3	0.17	+0.10
Arshdeep Bains	10.9	0	1	1	0.13	-0.09
Max Sasson	11.7	1	0	1	0.13	+0.08
Filip Hronek	24.9	0	1	1	0.08	+0.24
Jamie Oleksiak	16.8	0	1	1	0.00	-0.30
Jonathan Lekkerimäki	16.6	0	0	1	0.36	+0.22
Liam Ohgren	14.8	0	0	2	0.35	-0.25
Drew O'Connor	14.9	0	0	2	0.33	-0.47
Jake DeBrusk	17.2	0	0	2	0.25	+0.36
Linus Karlsson	13.0	0	0	2	0.25	-0.31
Brendan Gallagher	11.6	0	0	2	0.15	-0.20
Marco Rossi	18.0	0	0	2	0.15	-0.12
Luke Schenn	11.2	0	0	2	0.10	-0.45
Tom Willander	25.7	0	0	2	0.09	+0.15
Elias Pettersson	16.6	0	0	0	0.00	+0.17
Zeev Buium	16.5	0	0	0	0.00	-0.37
Paul Cotter	15.5	0	0	0	0.00	-0.19

NYI skaters

Player	TOI	G	A	SOG	ixG	5v5 xG±
Matthew Schaefer	25.2	0	2	4	0.60	-0.02
Matias Maccelli	15.4	1	1	5	0.47	+0.46
Kyle Palmieri	16.7	2	0	2	0.14	+0.27
Bo Horvat	19.8	0	1	3	0.35	+0.24
Matthew Kessel	13.8	0	1	1	0.05	-0.08
Victor Eklund	13.8	0	0	3	0.48	-0.65
Brayden Schenn	16.9	0	0	3	0.34	-0.63
Emil Heineman	12.5	0	0	3	0.23	+0.58
Tony DeAngelo	17.0	0	0	3	0.23	+0.52
Jean-Gabriel Pageau	15.0	0	0	2	0.16	-0.12
Adam Pelech	19.9	0	0	5	0.13	+0.01
Simon Holmstrom	13.2	0	0	4	0.10	+0.62
Calum Ritchie	14.6	0	0	0	0.08	-0.62
Logan Stanley	20.7	0	0	0	0.02	-0.11
Ryan Pulock	20.2	0	0	0	0.00	+0.05
Ondrej Palat	13.7	0	0	0	0.00	-0.19
Casey Cizikas	12.4	0	0	0	0.00	+0.69
Anthony Duclair	11.1	0	0	0	0.00	+0.07

Goalies

Goalie	Team	Unbl. shots	GA	xGA	GSAx
Ilya Sorokin	NYI	41	2	2.91	+0.91
Leevi Meriläinen	VAN	46	3	3.38	+0.38

DtW replays every unblocked, non-empty-net shot by its xG (shootout excluded; a tie = coin flip), calibrated against real results — so it reads as "teams with these shots win X%". ixG = expected goals from a player's own shots. 5v5 xG± = 5v5 xG for minus against while he was on the ice. GSAx = expected goals against minus goals allowed.