ON-ICE IQ · WSH 2 @ CAR 4

ON-ICE IQ ← ALL GAMES

Tue Oct 13 · 2026-27

WSH2

FINAL

4CAR

WSH 35%DESERVE TO WIN65% CAR

DESERVED CAR earned it — a 65% chance to win on the shots.

Expected goals flow

WSHCAR cumulative xG · dots = goals

	WSH	CAR
Goals	2	4
xG (all)	2.61	4.30
xG (5v5)	2.07	3.17
Shot attempts	47	77
Shots on goal	22	35

WSH skaters

Player	TOI	G	A	SOG	ixG	5v5 xG±
Ryan Leonard	13.2	0	2	2	0.14	+0.33
Dylan Strome	18.3	0	1	1	0.31	-0.73
Boone Jenner	16.0	1	0	2	0.16	-0.37
Justin Holl	12.1	1	0	1	0.08	-0.21
Ilya Protas	13.1	0	0	3	0.54	-0.33
Justin Sourdif	11.5	0	0	1	0.26	-0.07
Alex Tuch	18.8	0	0	1	0.23	-1.07
Aliaksei Protas	15.9	0	0	2	0.22	+0.03
Anthony Beauvillier	12.0	0	0	2	0.22	-0.06
Alex Ovechkin	13.0	0	0	2	0.15	-0.10
Ethen Frank	10.2	0	0	1	0.11	+0.12
Timothy Liljegren	18.9	0	0	0	0.08	-1.37
Cole Hutson	19.2	0	0	0	0.04	+0.55
Jordan Kyrou	10.8	0	0	1	0.03	-0.01
Jakob Chychrun	22.3	0	0	2	0.03	-1.39
Vincent Desharnais	20.1	0	0	1	0.01	-0.22
Martin Fehérváry	24.6	0	0	0	0.00	+0.33
Tom Wilson	19.2	0	0	0	0.00	-0.96

CAR skaters

Player	TOI	G	A	SOG	ixG	5v5 xG±
Andrei Svechnikov	21.5	2	1	5	1.27	+1.44
Sebastian Aho	21.5	0	2	3	0.47	+1.25
William Carrier	13.6	0	1	4	0.48	+1.03
Jackson Blake	18.3	0	1	1	0.38	-0.56
Mark Jankowski	15.9	1	0	2	0.37	+0.08
Nikolaj Ehlers	19.8	0	1	1	0.36	-0.10
Eric Robinson	14.8	1	0	4	0.27	+0.28
Sean Walker	21.4	0	1	0	0.00	+0.37
K'Andre Miller	23.0	0	0	3	0.31	+0.17
Mike Reilly	10.5	0	0	3	0.18	-0.04
Nicolas Deslauriers	9.3	0	0	1	0.11	+0.42
Jesperi Kotkaniemi	11.2	0	0	1	0.11	+0.42
Jalen Chatfield	18.6	0	0	2	0.10	+0.94
Shayne Gostisbehere	18.9	0	0	2	0.06	-0.09
Taylor Hall	4.3	0	0	0	0.04	-0.23
Jaccob Slavin	20.8	0	0	2	0.04	+0.85
Jordan Martinook	13.1	0	0	1	0.01	-0.10
Logan Stankoven	15.5	0	0	0	0.00	-0.63

Goalies

Goalie	Team	Unbl. shots	GA	xGA	GSAx
Logan Thompson	WSH	53	3	4.30	+1.30
Pyotr Kochetkov	CAR	33	2	2.61	+0.61

DtW replays every unblocked, non-empty-net shot by its xG (shootout excluded; a tie = coin flip), calibrated against real results — so it reads as "teams with these shots win X%". ixG = expected goals from a player's own shots. 5v5 xG± = 5v5 xG for minus against while he was on the ice. GSAx = expected goals against minus goals allowed.