Tue Oct 13 · 2026-27
NJD5FINAL OT
4DET
NJD 68%DESERVE TO WIN32% DET
DESERVED
NJD earned it — a 68% chance to win on the shots.
Expected goals flow
NJDDET
cumulative xG · dots = goals
| NJD | DET | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | 5 | 4 |
| xG (all) | 4.84 | 2.32 |
| xG (5v5) | 4.29 | 1.91 |
| Shot attempts | 73 | 55 |
| Shots on goal | 37 | 27 |
NJD skaters
| Player | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | 5v5 xG± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Hughes | 23.5 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 1.42 | +1.40 |
| Jesper Bratt | 20.3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0.45 | +1.13 |
| Evan Rodrigues | 14.5 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0.49 | +0.43 |
| Anthony Mantha | 12.4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0.30 | +0.40 |
| Nico Hischier | 16.4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0.59 | +0.34 |
| Dawson Mercer | 17.3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0.31 | +0.69 |
| Stefan Noesen | 11.7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.02 | +0.13 |
| Jonas Siegenthaler | 19.4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.00 | +1.53 |
| Amadeus Lombardi | 10.1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.29 | +0.17 |
| Arseny Gritsyuk | 19.4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.27 | +1.35 |
| Jesper Boqvist | 10.6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.26 | +0.43 |
| Timo Meier | 14.9 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.17 | +0.47 |
| Dougie Hamilton | 20.5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0.14 | +1.74 |
| Cody Glass | 10.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.11 | +0.19 |
| Brett Pesce | 23.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.02 | +1.01 |
| Johnathan Kovacevic | 16.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.01 | -0.03 |
| Luke Hughes | 25.4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | +0.70 |
| Declan Chisholm | 15.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.21 |
DET skaters
| Player | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | 5v5 xG± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex DeBrincat | 21.4 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 0.52 | -0.17 |
| Michael Brandsegg-Nygård | 19.0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0.53 | -0.17 |
| Emmitt Finnie | 18.3 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0.39 | +0.02 |
| Moritz Seider | 23.4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0.11 | +0.14 |
| Axel Sandin-Pellikka | 14.3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.03 | -0.35 |
| Ben Chiarot | 19.4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.02 | -1.20 |
| Justin Faulk | 19.6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.88 |
| Anton Johansson | 14.2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.00 | -1.55 |
| Sheldon Dries | 12.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.22 | -0.03 |
| Dylan Larkin | 21.3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.18 | -0.91 |
| Lucas Raymond | 19.5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.11 | -0.21 |
| Andrew Copp | 18.2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.10 | -1.51 |
| Albert Johansson | 13.5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.06 | -0.72 |
| Viktor Arvidsson | 20.2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.05 | -0.99 |
| Michael Rasmussen | 17.6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.01 | -1.36 |
| Andreas Englund | 15.2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | -0.21 |
| Keegan Kolesar | 10.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.75 |
| Carter Mazur | 6.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -1.02 |
Goalies
| Goalie | Team | Unbl. shots | GA | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jake Allen | NJD | 39 | 4 | 2.32 | -1.68 |
| John Gibson | DET | 53 | 5 | 4.84 | -0.16 |
DtW replays every unblocked, non-empty-net shot by its xG (shootout excluded; a tie = coin
flip), calibrated against real results — so it reads as "teams with these shots win X%". ixG = expected goals from a player's own shots. 5v5 xG± = 5v5 xG for minus
against while he was on the ice. GSAx = expected goals against minus goals allowed.