Mon Oct 12 · 2026-27
OTT4FINAL
1NJD
OTT 43%DESERVE TO WIN57% NJD
TOSS-UP
A toss-up on the shots — OTT had a 43% chance and got it.
Expected goals flow
OTTNJD
cumulative xG · dots = goals
| OTT | NJD | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | 4 | 1 |
| xG (all) | 2.12 | 2.74 |
| xG (5v5) | 1.58 | 2.09 |
| Shot attempts | 44 | 80 |
| Shots on goal | 20 | 30 |
OTT skaters
| Player | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | 5v5 xG± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tim Stützle | 20.8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0.10 | +0.26 |
| Michael Amadio | 17.3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0.56 | -0.65 |
| Tyler Kleven | 23.6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0.39 | -0.22 |
| Shane Pinto | 21.3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.28 | -0.77 |
| Thomas Chabot | 27.9 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0.22 | +0.01 |
| Stephen Halliday | 8.4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0.17 | +0.02 |
| Dylan Cozens | 17.7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.15 | +0.08 |
| Jordan Spence | 21.5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.00 |
| Claude Giroux | 18.8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.08 |
| Fabian Zetterlund | 11.4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.26 | -0.10 |
| Drake Batherson | 17.6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.20 | +0.15 |
| Warren Foegele | 12.1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.13 | +0.19 |
| Ridly Greig | 16.4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.12 | -0.47 |
| Carter Yakemchuk | 22.4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.08 | +0.24 |
| Andre Burakovsky | 15.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.01 |
| Hoyt Stanley | 12.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.95 |
| Nick Cousins | 9.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.26 |
| Nikolas Matinpalo | 2.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | +0.01 |
NJD skaters
| Player | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | 5v5 xG± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arseny Gritsyuk | 13.9 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0.19 | -0.33 |
| Jack Hughes | 20.7 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0.13 | +0.39 |
| Amadeus Lombardi | 12.2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.37 | +0.51 |
| Anthony Mantha | 12.4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.32 | +0.55 |
| Cody Glass | 13.9 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.31 | +0.32 |
| Nico Hischier | 18.1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.30 | -0.22 |
| Jesper Boqvist | 10.7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.24 | +0.58 |
| Evan Rodrigues | 15.7 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.22 | +0.00 |
| Luke Hughes | 22.9 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.21 | +0.18 |
| Jesper Bratt | 17.2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.16 | +0.62 |
| Timo Meier | 14.6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.10 | -0.19 |
| Dawson Mercer | 13.8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.06 | -0.52 |
| Dougie Hamilton | 22.2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.05 | -0.03 |
| Brenden Dillon | 15.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.03 | +0.45 |
| Brett Pesce | 21.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.03 | +0.07 |
| Jonas Siegenthaler | 19.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.50 |
| Declan Chisholm | 14.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | +0.83 |
| Luke Evangelista | 11.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.16 |
Goalies
| Goalie | Team | Unbl. shots | GA | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Linus Ullmark | OTT | 49 | 1 | 2.74 | +1.74 |
| Nico Daws | NJD | 28 | 3 | 2.12 | -0.88 |
DtW replays every unblocked, non-empty-net shot by its xG (shootout excluded; a tie = coin
flip), calibrated against real results — so it reads as "teams with these shots win X%". ixG = expected goals from a player's own shots. 5v5 xG± = 5v5 xG for minus
against while he was on the ice. GSAx = expected goals against minus goals allowed.