Sun Oct 11 · 2026-27
VAN2FINAL
6NYR
VAN 33%DESERVE TO WIN67% NYR
DESERVED
NYR earned it — a 67% chance to win on the shots.
Expected goals flow
VANNYR
cumulative xG · dots = goals
| VAN | NYR | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2 | 6 |
| xG (all) | 1.86 | 3.66 |
| xG (5v5) | 1.71 | 2.89 |
| Shot attempts | 54 | 56 |
| Shots on goal | 21 | 25 |
VAN skaters
| Player | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | 5v5 xG± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonathan Lekkerimäki | 14.9 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0.27 | -0.47 |
| Brendan Gallagher | 13.0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.24 | -0.02 |
| Elias Pettersson | 21.5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0.10 | +0.69 |
| Jake DeBrusk | 12.4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.05 | -0.73 |
| Drew O'Connor | 16.1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.01 | -0.51 |
| Linus Karlsson | 11.9 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.38 | -0.36 |
| Brock Boeser | 18.7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.20 | -0.34 |
| Paul Cotter | 16.1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.13 | -0.20 |
| Guillaume Brisebois | 12.7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.11 | -0.96 |
| Liam Ohgren | 15.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.10 | -0.26 |
| Aatu Räty | 12.6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.08 | +0.14 |
| Marco Rossi | 15.5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.07 | -0.23 |
| Tom Willander | 22.2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.05 | -0.22 |
| Luke Schenn | 13.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.02 | -0.78 |
| Zeev Buium | 22.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.02 | -0.80 |
| Elias Pettersson | 17.1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.02 | -0.58 |
| Filip Hronek | 27.2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | -0.45 |
| Max Sasson | 13.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | +0.15 |
NYR skaters
| Player | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | 5v5 xG± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Cuylle | 15.7 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0.84 | +0.98 |
| Alexis Lafrenière | 19.3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0.58 | +0.59 |
| Tye Kartye | 15.7 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0.49 | +0.47 |
| Mika Zibanejad | 19.4 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0.31 | -0.13 |
| Gabe Perreault | 18.9 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0.24 | -0.00 |
| J.T. Miller | 18.5 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0.13 | +0.95 |
| Eeli Tolvanen | 12.1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0.34 | +0.95 |
| Vladislav Gavrikov | 20.4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.13 | +1.72 |
| Noah Laba | 13.1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.08 | +0.57 |
| Adam Fox | 21.2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0.06 | +0.92 |
| Braden Schneider | 16.8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.00 | +0.04 |
| Oliver Bjorkstrand | 10.3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.21 | -0.21 |
| Cole Beaudoin | 10.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.08 | -0.22 |
| Sean Durzi | 19.1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.08 | +0.49 |
| Alberts Smits | 17.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.05 | -0.85 |
| Pavel Dorofeyev | 18.1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.05 | -0.26 |
| Jaroslav Chmelar | 9.5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | -0.14 |
| Marcus Pettersson | 21.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | +0.05 |
Goalies
| Goalie | Team | Unbl. shots | GA | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Lankinen | VAN | 41 | 6 | 3.66 | -2.34 |
| Dylan Garand | NYR | 39 | 2 | 1.86 | -0.14 |
DtW replays every unblocked, non-empty-net shot by its xG (shootout excluded; a tie = coin
flip), calibrated against real results — so it reads as "teams with these shots win X%". ixG = expected goals from a player's own shots. 5v5 xG± = 5v5 xG for minus
against while he was on the ice. GSAx = expected goals against minus goals allowed.