Sun Oct 11 · 2026-27
SEA5FINAL
3WSH
SEA 44%DESERVE TO WIN56% WSH
TOSS-UP
A toss-up on the shots — SEA had a 44% chance and got it.
Expected goals flow
SEAWSH
cumulative xG · dots = goals
| SEA | WSH | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | 5 | 3 |
| xG (all) | 3.35 | 3.87 |
| xG (5v5) | 2.88 | 3.04 |
| Shot attempts | 56 | 60 |
| Shots on goal | 27 | 36 |
SEA skaters
| Player | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | 5v5 xG± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Frederick Gaudreau | 15.8 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0.36 | -0.69 |
| Ryan Winterton | 10.8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0.20 | +0.10 |
| Ben Meyers | 13.1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0.01 | -0.49 |
| Jared McCann | 15.6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0.90 | -0.18 |
| Bobby McMann | 19.0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0.68 | -0.04 |
| Jordan Eberle | 18.4 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 0.49 | -0.03 |
| Kaapo Kakko | 12.2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.37 | +0.54 |
| Vince Dunn | 24.2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0.11 | +0.25 |
| Adam Larsson | 24.7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.06 | +0.47 |
| Ryker Evans | 20.0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.05 | -0.66 |
| Brandon Montour | 24.6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.01 | -0.96 |
| Chandler Stephenson | 18.3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.09 |
| Shane Wright | 12.4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.27 | +0.24 |
| Matty Beniers | 16.3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.23 | -0.23 |
| Berkly Catton | 12.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.13 | +0.47 |
| Ville Ottavainen | 10.3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.12 | +0.19 |
| Mackie Samoskevich | 14.3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.09 | -0.20 |
| Josh Mahura | 13.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.08 | +0.48 |
WSH skaters
| Player | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | 5v5 xG± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boone Jenner | 15.5 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0.70 | -0.22 |
| Ryan Leonard | 15.3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0.51 | +0.35 |
| Alex Ovechkin | 16.9 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0.42 | -0.37 |
| Jordan Kyrou | 15.8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.31 | +0.35 |
| Cole Hutson | 20.0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0.30 | +0.84 |
| Ilya Protas | 12.8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.30 | -0.12 |
| Aliaksei Protas | 14.8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.05 | -0.38 |
| Dylan Strome | 19.6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.37 | +1.18 |
| Alex Tuch | 20.9 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.27 | +0.62 |
| Ethen Frank | 9.2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.24 | -0.42 |
| Jakob Chychrun | 27.4 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 0.23 | -0.10 |
| Tom Wilson | 20.8 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.18 | +0.61 |
| Martin Fehérváry | 23.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | +0.02 |
| Timothy Liljegren | 21.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.82 |
| Vincent Desharnais | 18.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | +0.64 |
| Justin Sourdif | 11.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.66 |
| Anthony Beauvillier | 8.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.43 |
| Dylan McIlrath | 5.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.24 |
Goalies
| Goalie | Team | Unbl. shots | GA | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joey Daccord | SEA | 47 | 3 | 3.87 | +0.87 |
| Logan Thompson | WSH | 40 | 5 | 3.35 | -1.65 |
DtW replays every unblocked, non-empty-net shot by its xG (shootout excluded; a tie = coin
flip), calibrated against real results — so it reads as "teams with these shots win X%". ixG = expected goals from a player's own shots. 5v5 xG± = 5v5 xG for minus
against while he was on the ice. GSAx = expected goals against minus goals allowed.