Sat Oct 10 · 2026-27
ANA4FINAL
2CGY
ANA 42%DESERVE TO WIN58% CGY
TOSS-UP
A toss-up on the shots — ANA had a 42% chance and got it.
Expected goals flow
ANACGY
cumulative xG · dots = goals
| ANA | CGY | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | 4 | 2 |
| xG (all) | 2.36 | 3.12 |
| xG (5v5) | 2.03 | 2.56 |
| Shot attempts | 56 | 70 |
| Shots on goal | 28 | 29 |
ANA skaters
| Player | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | 5v5 xG± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mikael Granlund | 19.4 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0.30 | +0.29 |
| Ryan Poehling | 11.8 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0.27 | -0.13 |
| Frank Vatrano | 11.8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.46 | -0.14 |
| Nikita Nesterenko | 14.1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0.42 | +0.31 |
| Jackson LaCombe | 17.0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.18 | -0.08 |
| Pavel Mintyukov | 19.8 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0.14 | -0.32 |
| Alex Killorn | 18.8 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0.13 | +0.47 |
| Leo Carlsson | 20.3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0.08 | -0.25 |
| Noah Warren | 21.0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0.02 | -0.02 |
| Jeff Malott | 11.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.28 | -0.01 |
| Tim Washe | 16.6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.26 | -0.48 |
| Beckett Sennecke | 20.6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.18 | -0.42 |
| Travis Mitchell | 17.5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.06 | -1.07 |
| Sam Colangelo | 14.3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.05 | -0.39 |
| Tristan Luneau | 23.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.04 | +0.16 |
| Judd Caulfield | 13.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.03 | -0.85 |
| Tyson Hinds | 19.4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | +0.24 |
| Cutter Gauthier | 2.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | +0.01 |
CGY skaters
| Player | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | 5v5 xG± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matt Coronato | 19.8 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0.01 | -0.26 |
| Aydar Suniev | 15.8 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0.58 | +0.21 |
| Morgan Frost | 17.0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.21 | -0.42 |
| Simon Nemec | 23.6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.05 | +0.60 |
| Joel Farabee | 21.2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0.51 | +0.18 |
| Ryan Strome | 13.7 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.38 | +0.44 |
| Martin Pospisil | 11.0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.26 | +0.28 |
| Maxim Tsyplakov | 11.5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.24 | +0.35 |
| Jonathan Castagna | 9.8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.23 | +0.50 |
| Adam Klapka | 11.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.19 | +0.43 |
| Matvei Gridin | 14.9 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.14 | -0.28 |
| Yegor Sharangovich | 22.2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.13 | +0.03 |
| Zayne Parekh | 17.8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.07 | -0.75 |
| Kevin Bahl | 21.4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.06 | +0.90 |
| Yan Kuznetsov | 18.3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.04 | +0.35 |
| Mikael Backlund | 19.4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | +0.14 |
| Zach Whitecloud | 19.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | +0.44 |
| Jake Middleton | 12.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.47 |
Goalies
| Goalie | Team | Unbl. shots | GA | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ville Husso | ANA | 44 | 2 | 3.12 | +1.12 |
| Dustin Wolf | CGY | 38 | 4 | 2.36 | -1.64 |
DtW replays every unblocked, non-empty-net shot by its xG (shootout excluded; a tie = coin
flip), calibrated against real results — so it reads as "teams with these shots win X%". ixG = expected goals from a player's own shots. 5v5 xG± = 5v5 xG for minus
against while he was on the ice. GSAx = expected goals against minus goals allowed.