ON-ICE IQ · CBJ 3 @ STL 5

ON-ICE IQ ← ALL GAMES

Sat Oct 10 · 2026-27

CBJ3

FINAL

5STL

CBJ 35%DESERVE TO WIN65% STL

DESERVED STL earned it — a 65% chance to win on the shots.

Expected goals flow

CBJSTL cumulative xG · dots = goals

	CBJ	STL
Goals	3	5
xG (all)	1.54	3.02
xG (5v5)	1.53	2.17
Shot attempts	48	58
Shots on goal	23	27

CBJ skaters

Player	TOI	G	A	SOG	ixG	5v5 xG±
Valeri Nichushkin	16.4	1	0	4	0.43	-0.20
Cole Sillinger	16.0	1	0	1	0.27	-0.21
Adam Fantilli	18.5	0	1	4	0.15	+0.10
Kent Johnson	17.0	1	0	3	0.14	-0.21
Sean Monahan	18.6	0	1	1	0.09	-0.33
Zach Werenski	28.2	0	1	1	0.04	+0.30
Erik Gudbranson	19.6	0	1	0	0.03	-0.49
Charlie Coyle	16.6	0	1	1	0.01	-0.27
Carson Soucy	11.6	0	1	0	0.00	-0.50
Damon Severson	24.7	0	0	1	0.13	-0.11
Ryan Lomberg	9.7	0	0	3	0.10	+0.10
Conor Garland	15.0	0	0	1	0.08	-0.00
Danton Heinen	12.1	0	0	2	0.06	-0.20
Denton Mateychuk	21.2	0	0	1	0.02	-0.07
Matthew Knies	14.7	0	0	0	0.00	-0.21
Jake Christiansen	12.8	0	0	0	0.00	-0.42
Dmitri Voronkov	12.7	0	0	0	0.00	+0.16
Mathieu Olivier	11.9	0	0	0	0.00	-0.65

STL skaters

Player	TOI	G	A	SOG	ixG	5v5 xG±
Dylan Holloway	16.6	0	3	3	0.28	+0.12
Jimmy Snuggerud	15.2	2	0	3	0.26	+0.09
Mason McTavish	18.1	0	1	4	0.72	+0.50
Pavel Buchnevich	17.0	1	0	2	0.57	-0.11
Jonatan Berggren	17.0	1	0	2	0.48	+0.54
Jake Neighbours	13.4	1	0	2	0.30	+0.40
Justin Barron	16.2	0	1	2	0.14	+0.02
Robert Thomas	18.2	0	1	0	0.07	+0.26
Philip Broberg	23.3	0	1	1	0.05	+0.36
Colton Parayko	23.1	0	1	1	0.01	-0.36
Connor McMichael	18.1	0	0	1	0.17	+0.68
Dalibor Dvorsky	12.1	0	0	1	0.08	+0.06
Adam Jiricek	15.8	0	0	3	0.08	+0.81
Cam Fowler	21.8	0	0	1	0.06	+0.32
Pius Suter	12.9	0	0	1	0.03	-0.22
Brandon Carlo	18.1	0	0	0	0.01	+0.15
Zach Dean	9.8	0	0	0	0.00	-0.20
Ross Johnston	9.1	0	0	0	0.00	-0.18

Goalies

Goalie	Team	Unbl. shots	GA	xGA	GSAx
Jordan Binnington	STL	39	3	1.54	-1.46
Jet Greaves	CBJ	36	4	3.02	-0.98

DtW replays every unblocked, non-empty-net shot by its xG (shootout excluded; a tie = coin flip), calibrated against real results — so it reads as "teams with these shots win X%". ixG = expected goals from a player's own shots. 5v5 xG± = 5v5 xG for minus against while he was on the ice. GSAx = expected goals against minus goals allowed.