Sat Oct 10 · 2026-27
CAR5FINAL
2CHI
CAR 58%DESERVE TO WIN42% CHI
TOSS-UP
A toss-up on the shots — CAR had a 58% chance and got it.
Expected goals flow
CARCHI
cumulative xG · dots = goals
| CAR | CHI | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | 5 | 2 |
| xG (all) | 3.99 | 2.72 |
| xG (5v5) | 3.49 | 2.31 |
| Shot attempts | 72 | 48 |
| Shots on goal | 39 | 26 |
CAR skaters
| Player | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | 5v5 xG± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jackson Blake | 15.9 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0.45 | +0.75 |
| Jordan Martinook | 12.9 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0.06 | +0.19 |
| Mike Reilly | 16.3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0.05 | +1.34 |
| Mark Jankowski | 13.6 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0.73 | +0.61 |
| Logan Stankoven | 16.2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0.53 | +0.86 |
| Sebastian Aho | 19.6 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 0.50 | -0.00 |
| Taylor Hall | 14.1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0.48 | +0.43 |
| K'Andre Miller | 21.8 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0.09 | -0.16 |
| Nikolaj Ehlers | 13.1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.01 | +0.29 |
| Eric Robinson | 15.4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.00 | +0.23 |
| Jesperi Kotkaniemi | 14.3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.00 | +0.34 |
| William Carrier | 13.8 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.50 | -0.11 |
| Andrei Svechnikov | 15.8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.18 | +0.02 |
| Shayne Gostisbehere | 17.3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.12 | +1.30 |
| Jordan Staal | 14.2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.11 | -0.00 |
| Jalen Chatfield | 20.9 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.11 | +0.12 |
| Jaccob Slavin | 18.9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.05 | -0.13 |
| Sean Walker | 22.6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.01 | -0.17 |
CHI skaters
| Player | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | 5v5 xG± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Roman Kantserov | 15.8 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0.41 | -0.26 |
| Ryan Donato | 12.3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0.33 | -0.18 |
| Wyatt Kaiser | 17.1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.17 | -1.03 |
| Oliver Moore | 12.9 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0.16 | -0.11 |
| Jordan Greenway | 14.8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.35 | -0.26 |
| Patrick Kane | 18.3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0.35 | -0.30 |
| Nick Lardis | 15.0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.22 | +0.19 |
| Ian Cole | 17.4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.22 | +0.12 |
| Artyom Levshunov | 18.2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.21 | +0.33 |
| Anton Frondell | 18.1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.19 | -0.72 |
| Bowen Byram | 25.7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.06 | -0.08 |
| Alex Vlasic | 18.1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.02 | -0.21 |
| Cole Smith | 15.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.02 | -0.35 |
| Tyler Bertuzzi | 17.3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.01 | -0.73 |
| Ryan Greene | 19.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.11 |
| Sam Rinzel | 18.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -1.27 |
| Teuvo Teravainen | 14.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.32 |
| Dominic Toninato | 9.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.46 |
Goalies
| Goalie | Team | Unbl. shots | GA | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spencer Knight | CHI | 56 | 5 | 3.99 | -1.01 |
| Brandon Bussi | CAR | 37 | 2 | 2.72 | +0.72 |
DtW replays every unblocked, non-empty-net shot by its xG (shootout excluded; a tie = coin
flip), calibrated against real results — so it reads as "teams with these shots win X%". ixG = expected goals from a player's own shots. 5v5 xG± = 5v5 xG for minus
against while he was on the ice. GSAx = expected goals against minus goals allowed.