ON-ICE IQ · DAL 1 @ PIT 2

ON-ICE IQ ← ALL GAMES

Sat Oct 10 · 2026-27

DAL1

FINAL SO

2PIT

DAL 44%DESERVE TO WIN56% PIT

TOSS-UP A toss-up on the shots — PIT had a 56% chance and got it.

Expected goals flow

DALPIT cumulative xG · dots = goals

	DAL	PIT
Goals	1	2
xG (all)	2.48	2.95
xG (5v5)	0.92	1.75
Shot attempts	54	68
Shots on goal	25	20

DAL skaters

Player	TOI	G	A	SOG	ixG	5v5 xG±
Jason Robertson	21.6	0	1	3	0.69	-0.11
Tyler Seguin	13.2	1	0	2	0.25	-0.43
Miro Heiskanen	30.4	0	1	0	0.00	-0.64
Mikko Rantanen	23.1	0	0	4	0.33	-0.22
Wyatt Johnston	21.3	0	0	1	0.31	-0.22
Justin Hryckowian	11.5	0	0	1	0.20	-0.62
Thomas Harley	25.1	0	0	7	0.19	+0.07
Roope Hintz	20.7	0	0	1	0.14	+0.14
Arttu Hyry	13.0	0	0	1	0.11	-0.21
Sam Steel	18.6	0	0	2	0.08	-0.41
Lian Bichsel	13.9	0	0	1	0.07	-0.12
Oskar Bäck	14.2	0	0	1	0.03	-0.27
Esa Lindell	20.3	0	0	0	0.03	-0.71
Jamie Benn	10.9	0	0	1	0.02	-0.01
Tyler Myers	12.7	0	0	0	0.01	-0.13
Nils Lundkvist	16.4	0	0	0	0.00	-0.29
Colin Blackwell	10.5	0	0	0	0.00	+0.04
Radek Faksa	8.4	0	0	0	0.00	-0.02

PIT skaters

Player	TOI	G	A	SOG	ixG	5v5 xG±
Connor Dewar	12.2	1	0	3	0.40	+0.64
Blake Lizotte	12.6	0	1	0	0.15	+0.61
Tommy Novak	15.7	0	0	1	0.48	+0.35
Evgeni Malkin	19.9	0	0	2	0.33	+0.26
Nick Robertson	11.5	0	0	2	0.26	+0.58
Egor Chinakhov	15.9	0	0	2	0.25	+0.28
Sidney Crosby	22.7	0	0	1	0.20	-0.21
Erik Karlsson	27.2	0	0	2	0.19	-0.13
Ben Kindel	19.2	0	0	2	0.19	+0.10
Rickard Rakell	22.2	0	0	1	0.11	-0.22
Kris Letang	21.4	0	0	1	0.11	+0.61
Samuel Girard	21.1	0	0	2	0.10	+0.37
Bryan Rust	20.5	0	0	0	0.07	-0.13
Declan Carlile	17.8	0	0	0	0.06	-0.02
Elmer Soderblom	8.4	0	0	0	0.04	+0.13
Spencer Stastney	13.0	0	0	1	0.01	+0.48
Kaedan Korczak	16.7	0	0	0	0.00	+0.36
Hendrix Lapierre	11.5	0	0	0	0.00	+0.14

Goalies

Goalie	Team	Unbl. shots	GA	xGA	GSAx
Jake Oettinger	DAL	42	1	2.95	+1.95
Arturs Silovs	PIT	37	1	2.48	+1.48

DtW replays every unblocked, non-empty-net shot by its xG (shootout excluded; a tie = coin flip), calibrated against real results — so it reads as "teams with these shots win X%". ixG = expected goals from a player's own shots. 5v5 xG± = 5v5 xG for minus against while he was on the ice. GSAx = expected goals against minus goals allowed.