Sat Oct 10 · 2026-27
DET0FINAL SO
1MTL
DET 43%DESERVE TO WIN57% MTL
TOSS-UP
A toss-up on the shots — MTL had a 57% chance and got it.
Expected goals flow
DETMTL
cumulative xG · dots = goals
| DET | MTL | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | 0 | 1 |
| xG (all) | 3.20 | 3.94 |
| xG (5v5) | 1.21 | 2.14 |
| Shot attempts | 53 | 76 |
| Shots on goal | 30 | 30 |
DET skaters
| Player | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | 5v5 xG± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex DeBrincat | 21.8 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 1.10 | -0.07 |
| Viktor Arvidsson | 19.4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.68 | -0.23 |
| Lucas Raymond | 21.2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.59 | -0.20 |
| Andrew Copp | 19.3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.23 | -0.16 |
| Dylan Larkin | 22.7 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.20 | -0.28 |
| Emmitt Finnie | 17.4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.11 | -0.35 |
| Michael Brandsegg-Nygård | 15.1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.10 | -0.21 |
| Ben Chiarot | 20.9 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.08 | -0.34 |
| Albert Johansson | 15.9 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.05 | +0.13 |
| Anton Johansson | 10.7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.04 | -0.15 |
| Andreas Englund | 14.3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | -0.44 |
| Moritz Seider | 29.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.46 |
| Justin Faulk | 18.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.24 |
| Michael Rasmussen | 18.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.16 |
| Keegan Kolesar | 14.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.43 |
| Sheldon Dries | 9.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.36 |
| Nate Danielson | 9.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.34 |
| Axel Sandin-Pellikka | 8.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.38 |
MTL skaters
| Player | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | 5v5 xG± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cole Caufield | 21.3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0.63 | +0.34 |
| Chris Kreider | 17.4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.62 | +0.21 |
| Lane Hutson | 26.5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.59 | +0.22 |
| Juraj Slafkovský | 22.2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0.45 | +0.50 |
| Nick Suzuki | 26.1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.38 | +0.48 |
| Zachary Bolduc | 15.8 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.28 | +0.25 |
| Kaiden Guhle | 15.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.21 | +0.34 |
| Alexandre Carrier | 18.4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.19 | +0.55 |
| Josh Anderson | 14.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.18 | +0.37 |
| Adam Engstrom | 6.9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.15 | +0.25 |
| Alexandre Texier | 18.1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.07 | -0.17 |
| Mike Matheson | 23.0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.06 | +0.39 |
| Alex Newhook | 16.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.06 | +0.29 |
| Noah Dobson | 19.9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.03 | -0.04 |
| Phillip Danault | 17.4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.03 | +0.47 |
| Jake Evans | 11.9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.01 | -0.01 |
| Kirby Dach | 7.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | +0.07 |
| Arber Xhekaj | 7.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | +0.18 |
Goalies
| Goalie | Team | Unbl. shots | GA | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniil Tarasov | DET | 51 | 0 | 3.94 | +3.94 |
| Jacob Fowler | MTL | 40 | 0 | 3.20 | +3.20 |
DtW replays every unblocked, non-empty-net shot by its xG (shootout excluded; a tie = coin
flip), calibrated against real results — so it reads as "teams with these shots win X%". ixG = expected goals from a player's own shots. 5v5 xG± = 5v5 xG for minus
against while he was on the ice. GSAx = expected goals against minus goals allowed.