Sat Oct 10 · 2026-27
VAN1FINAL
4NJD
VAN 32%DESERVE TO WIN68% NJD
DESERVED
NJD earned it — a 68% chance to win on the shots.
Expected goals flow
VANNJD
cumulative xG · dots = goals
| VAN | NJD | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1 | 4 |
| xG (all) | 2.21 | 4.31 |
| xG (5v5) | 1.88 | 3.06 |
| Shot attempts | 42 | 63 |
| Shots on goal | 21 | 37 |
VAN skaters
| Player | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | 5v5 xG± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jake DeBrusk | 17.2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 0.79 | +0.53 |
| Linus Karlsson | 14.8 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0.20 | -0.44 |
| Brock Boeser | 17.0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.12 | +0.25 |
| Elias Pettersson | 17.5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.43 | +0.28 |
| Liam Ohgren | 14.2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.18 | -0.16 |
| Brendan Gallagher | 11.9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.15 | -1.18 |
| Marco Rossi | 15.8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.14 | -0.44 |
| Jonathan Lekkerimäki | 14.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.05 | +0.19 |
| Filip Hronek | 19.5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.05 | -0.84 |
| Tom Willander | 21.1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.03 | -0.50 |
| Elias Pettersson | 19.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.02 | +0.21 |
| Paul Cotter | 15.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.02 | -0.42 |
| Luke Schenn | 16.1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.01 | +0.16 |
| Jamie Oleksiak | 16.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.01 | -0.26 |
| Max Sasson | 10.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -1.23 |
| Zeev Buium | 24.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -1.14 |
| Drew O'Connor | 16.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | +0.20 |
| Arshdeep Bains | 11.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -1.14 |
NJD skaters
| Player | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | 5v5 xG± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nico Hischier | 19.0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0.79 | +0.26 |
| Jesper Bratt | 16.2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 0.57 | +0.50 |
| Jack Hughes | 16.5 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0.32 | +0.83 |
| Jesper Boqvist | 12.5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0.52 | +0.30 |
| Arseny Gritsyuk | 12.9 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.29 | +0.25 |
| Amadeus Lombardi | 14.1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.20 | +0.18 |
| Luke Hughes | 23.2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.02 | +0.04 |
| Luke Evangelista | 18.9 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.50 | +0.14 |
| Dawson Mercer | 14.2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.35 | +0.24 |
| Timo Meier | 16.9 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.28 | +0.17 |
| Anthony Mantha | 9.7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.27 | +0.59 |
| Dougie Hamilton | 19.3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.09 | +1.06 |
| Cody Glass | 14.1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.06 | +0.28 |
| Evan Rodrigues | 13.9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.03 | -0.18 |
| Brett Pesce | 22.6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.02 | -0.02 |
| Brenden Dillon | 16.6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.01 | +0.13 |
| Jonas Siegenthaler | 19.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | +0.44 |
| Declan Chisholm | 14.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | +0.72 |
Goalies
| Goalie | Team | Unbl. shots | GA | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jake Allen | NJD | 33 | 1 | 2.21 | +1.21 |
| Kevin Lankinen | VAN | 4 | 1 | 0.63 | -0.37 |
| Leevi Meriläinen | VAN | 44 | 3 | 3.68 | +0.68 |
DtW replays every unblocked, non-empty-net shot by its xG (shootout excluded; a tie = coin
flip), calibrated against real results — so it reads as "teams with these shots win X%". ixG = expected goals from a player's own shots. 5v5 xG± = 5v5 xG for minus
against while he was on the ice. GSAx = expected goals against minus goals allowed.