Sat Oct 10 · 2026-27
PHI1FINAL
5BOS
PHI 28%DESERVE TO WIN72% BOS
DESERVED
BOS earned it — a 72% chance to win on the shots.
Expected goals flow
PHIBOS
cumulative xG · dots = goals
| PHI | BOS | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1 | 5 |
| xG (all) | 1.31 | 3.54 |
| xG (5v5) | 1.06 | 3.41 |
| Shot attempts | 37 | 64 |
| Shots on goal | 15 | 32 |
PHI skaters
| Player | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | 5v5 xG± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Porter Martone | 15.3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0.29 | +0.08 |
| Denver Barkey | 13.8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.15 | -0.52 |
| David Jiricek | 17.8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.01 | -1.07 |
| Owen Tippett | 17.3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.31 | -0.67 |
| Christian Dvorak | 17.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.16 | -1.08 |
| Matvei Michkov | 15.6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.11 | -1.03 |
| Tyson Foerster | 16.2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.10 | -1.34 |
| Noah Cates | 10.9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.06 | +0.06 |
| Jamie Drysdale | 25.0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.04 | -0.75 |
| Nick Seeler | 20.3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.04 | -0.81 |
| Michael Bunting | 13.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.01 | -0.18 |
| Sean Couturier | 16.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.57 |
| Travis Sanheim | 28.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.90 |
| Trevor Zegras | 15.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.56 |
| Simon Benoit | 13.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.58 |
| Noel Acciari | 12.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.62 |
| Helge Grans | 12.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.58 |
| Garrett Wilson | 11.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.61 |
BOS skaters
| Player | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | 5v5 xG± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fraser Minten | 14.4 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0.35 | +0.83 |
| JJ Peterka | 14.0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0.15 | +0.87 |
| Casey Mittelstadt | 14.4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0.65 | +1.06 |
| James Hagens | 14.8 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0.58 | +0.98 |
| David Pastrnak | 19.5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0.38 | +0.80 |
| Marat Khusnutdinov | 13.4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0.23 | +0.84 |
| Pavel Zacha | 19.3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.20 | +0.69 |
| Elias Lindholm | 13.8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.09 | +1.12 |
| Mason Lohrei | 17.7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.07 | +0.78 |
| Hampus Lindholm | 18.5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.00 | +0.68 |
| Will Borgen | 18.2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.00 | +0.75 |
| Morgan Geekie | 16.7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.34 | +0.69 |
| Nikita Zadorov | 22.6 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.22 | +0.79 |
| Connor Clifton | 22.8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.10 | +0.92 |
| Mark Kastelic | 11.4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.08 | -0.27 |
| Matthew Poitras | 12.2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.05 | -0.29 |
| Frederic Brunet | 18.4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.05 | +0.78 |
| Tanner Jeannot | 12.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.27 |
Goalies
| Goalie | Team | Unbl. shots | GA | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dan Vladar | PHI | 46 | 5 | 3.54 | -1.46 |
| Jeremy Swayman | BOS | 28 | 1 | 1.31 | +0.31 |
DtW replays every unblocked, non-empty-net shot by its xG (shootout excluded; a tie = coin
flip), calibrated against real results — so it reads as "teams with these shots win X%". ixG = expected goals from a player's own shots. 5v5 xG± = 5v5 xG for minus
against while he was on the ice. GSAx = expected goals against minus goals allowed.