Fri Oct 9 · 2026-27
ANA5FINAL
1WPG
ANA 50%DESERVE TO WIN50% WPG
TOSS-UP
A toss-up on the shots — ANA had a 50% chance and got it.
Expected goals flow
ANAWPG
cumulative xG · dots = goals
| ANA | WPG | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | 5 | 1 |
| xG (all) | 2.49 | 2.28 |
| xG (5v5) | 2.11 | 1.21 |
| Shot attempts | 39 | 53 |
| Shots on goal | 17 | 16 |
ANA skaters
| Player | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | 5v5 xG± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Judd Caulfield | 9.6 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0.53 | +0.85 |
| Tim Washe | 15.2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0.28 | +0.81 |
| Beckett Sennecke | 17.1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0.24 | -0.02 |
| Jeff Malott | 9.4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0.17 | +0.85 |
| Mikael Granlund | 16.5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0.03 | -0.20 |
| Nikita Nesterenko | 12.0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0.33 | -0.21 |
| Sam Colangelo | 10.6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.24 | +0.13 |
| Jackson LaCombe | 27.0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.11 | +0.46 |
| Noah Warren | 24.2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.00 | +0.27 |
| Cutter Gauthier | 18.3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.44 | -0.49 |
| Ryan Poehling | 17.3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.28 | +0.17 |
| Pavel Mintyukov | 21.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.17 | -0.10 |
| A.J. Greer | 12.6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.15 | +0.29 |
| Alex Killorn | 18.7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.04 | +0.41 |
| Leo Carlsson | 16.4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.03 | +0.13 |
| Tristan Luneau | 14.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.01 | +0.57 |
| Travis Mitchell | 17.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | +0.11 |
| Tyson Hinds | 13.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | +0.51 |
WPG skaters
| Player | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | 5v5 xG± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Connor | 23.9 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0.44 | -0.25 |
| Mark Scheifele | 22.3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.20 | -0.03 |
| Dylan DeMelo | 21.7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.00 | +0.18 |
| Gabriel Vilardi | 18.6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.52 | -0.08 |
| Adam Lowry | 13.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.27 | +0.19 |
| Isak Rosen | 14.9 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.21 | +0.20 |
| Morgan Barron | 14.2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.19 | +0.19 |
| Vladislav Namestnikov | 11.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.19 | -1.00 |
| Cole Perfetti | 22.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.08 | -0.03 |
| Dylan Samberg | 22.1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.06 | +0.28 |
| Haydn Fleury | 15.4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.06 | -0.57 |
| Mario Ferraro | 20.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.05 | -0.62 |
| Neal Pionk | 25.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.70 |
| Viggo Björck | 17.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.12 |
| Alex Iafallo | 14.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | +0.19 |
| Brad Lambert | 8.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -1.00 |
| Tyrel Bauer | 8.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.39 |
| Cole Koepke | 7.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.98 |
Goalies
| Goalie | Team | Unbl. shots | GA | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lukas Dostal | ANA | 32 | 1 | 2.28 | +1.28 |
| Clay Stevenson | WPG | 28 | 4 | 2.49 | -1.51 |
DtW replays every unblocked, non-empty-net shot by its xG (shootout excluded; a tie = coin
flip), calibrated against real results — so it reads as "teams with these shots win X%". ixG = expected goals from a player's own shots. 5v5 xG± = 5v5 xG for minus
against while he was on the ice. GSAx = expected goals against minus goals allowed.