Fri Oct 9 · 2026-27
NYR1FINAL
3WSH
NYR 45%DESERVE TO WIN55% WSH
TOSS-UP
A toss-up on the shots — WSH had a 55% chance and got it.
Expected goals flow
NYRWSH
cumulative xG · dots = goals
| NYR | WSH | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1 | 3 |
| xG (all) | 3.09 | 3.53 |
| xG (5v5) | 1.85 | 2.42 |
| Shot attempts | 50 | 52 |
| Shots on goal | 22 | 27 |
NYR skaters
| Player | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | 5v5 xG± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pavel Dorofeyev | 19.6 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0.92 | -0.01 |
| Alexis Lafrenière | 18.8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.39 | +0.30 |
| J.T. Miller | 20.9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.01 |
| Gabe Perreault | 16.5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.50 | -0.30 |
| Mika Zibanejad | 19.0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.27 | +0.13 |
| Alberts Smits | 14.4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.19 | +0.03 |
| Noah Laba | 13.7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.18 | -0.43 |
| Eeli Tolvanen | 11.8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.16 | -0.18 |
| Oliver Bjorkstrand | 9.3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.13 | -0.29 |
| Will Cuylle | 16.6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.11 | -0.43 |
| Tye Kartye | 15.4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.11 | +0.01 |
| Vladislav Gavrikov | 20.5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.05 | +0.24 |
| Cole Beaudoin | 10.9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.05 | -0.25 |
| Jaroslav Chmelar | 9.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.03 | -0.25 |
| Braden Schneider | 17.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.03 | +0.07 |
| Marcus Pettersson | 19.2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | -0.86 |
| Adam Fox | 23.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | +0.25 |
| Sean Durzi | 18.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.88 |
WSH skaters
| Player | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | 5v5 xG± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tom Wilson | 21.7 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0.71 | -0.13 |
| Ryan Leonard | 13.4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0.49 | +0.71 |
| Dylan Strome | 14.3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0.45 | +0.27 |
| Boone Jenner | 13.6 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0.43 | +0.59 |
| Timothy Liljegren | 19.2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0.08 | +0.21 |
| Vincent Desharnais | 21.2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.00 | +0.01 |
| Jakob Chychrun | 26.9 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.43 | -0.11 |
| Aliaksei Protas | 15.6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.30 | -0.13 |
| Martin Fehérváry | 22.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.28 | +0.28 |
| Alex Tuch | 20.4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.25 | +0.04 |
| Alex Ovechkin | 13.9 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.23 | +0.25 |
| Pierre-Luc Dubois | 21.8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.18 | -0.16 |
| Cole Hutson | 18.3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.16 | +0.49 |
| Justin Sourdif | 14.1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.11 | +0.51 |
| Jordan Kyrou | 12.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.27 |
| Ilya Protas | 10.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.05 |
| Anthony Beauvillier | 10.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | +0.08 |
| Dylan McIlrath | 5.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | +0.26 |
Goalies
| Goalie | Team | Unbl. shots | GA | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Igor Shesterkin | NYR | 24 | 1 | 1.79 | +0.79 |
| Logan Thompson | WSH | 36 | 1 | 3.09 | +2.09 |
| Dylan Garand | NYR | 17 | 1 | 1.74 | +0.74 |
DtW replays every unblocked, non-empty-net shot by its xG (shootout excluded; a tie = coin
flip), calibrated against real results — so it reads as "teams with these shots win X%". ixG = expected goals from a player's own shots. 5v5 xG± = 5v5 xG for minus
against while he was on the ice. GSAx = expected goals against minus goals allowed.